ＡＩ時代に食える仕事 食えない仕事(週刊東洋経済ｅビジネス新書Ｎo.308)
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ＡＩ時代に食える仕事 食えない仕事(週刊東洋経済ｅビジネス新書Ｎo.308)
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Narrated by:
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長谷川 俊介
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By:
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週刊東洋経済編集部
About this listen
労働人口の４７％が機械に代替される ──。
２０１３年、フレイ＆オズボーン論文はそうした定量的予測を発表し、雇用の未来に関する議論を巻き起こした。米国では１０～２０年以内に７０％以上の確率で予測が実現するとしている。
「今後ＡＩに仕事を奪われる」。センセーショナルな定量的予測とあわせ、不安をあおるような報道も相次いだ。ただ、同論文への不十分な点が次々と指摘され、より精度の高い未来予測も発表された。アーンツ論文では「タスクベース」の変化を踏まえ、職業そのものが機械に置き換わるわけではなく、その一部のタスクが置き換わっていくとしている。こうした定量的予測を踏まえつつ、“現場の現実”に基づき、１８の職業の未来を予測した。
本誌は『週刊東洋経済』２０１９年４月１３日号掲載の２６ページ分を電子化したものです。©東洋経済新報社 (P)2020 Audible, Inc.
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