You're About to Make a Terrible Mistake!
How Biases Distort Decision-Making-and What You Can Do to Fight Them
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Narrado por:
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Donald Corren
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De:
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Olivier Sibony
Acerca de esta escucha
A "brilliant, fun, and wise" (Cass R. Sunstein) tour of nine common business decision-making traps - and practical tools for avoiding them - from a professor of strategic thinking.
We all make decisions all the time. It's so natural that we hardly stop to think about it. Yet even the smartest and most experienced among us make frequent and predictable errors. So, what makes a good decision? Should we trust our intuitions, and if so, when? How can we avoid being tripped up by cognitive biases when we are not even aware of them?
In You're About to Make a Terrible Mistake!, behavioral economist and management consultant Olivier Sibony explains how cognitive biases lead us to our nine most common decision-making mistakes and proposes concrete, actionable solutions you can use to become a skillful decision architect. Drawing on dozens of engaging case studies, Sibony illustrates how even renowned business leaders frequently make errors - and how similar errors can be avoided by mobilizing the collective intelligence of organizations.
Distinctive in the clarity and practicality of its message, You're About to Make a Terrible Mistake! distills the latest developments in behavioral economics and cognitive psychology into actionable tools for making smart, effective decisions in business and beyond.
©2020 Olivier Sibony (P)2020 Recorded BooksLos oyentes también disfrutaron...
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Noise
- A Flaw in Human Judgment
- De: Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, Cass R. Sunstein
- Narrado por: Jonathan Todd Ross
- Duración: 13 h y 28 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 1,432
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 1,164
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 1,153
From the best-selling author of Thinking, Fast and Slow, the co-author of Nudge, and the author of You Are About to Make a Terrible Mistake! comes Noise, a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments, and how to control both noise and cognitive bias.
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1 out of 5 stars
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Disappointing
- De Z28 en 05-31-21
De: Daniel Kahneman, y otros
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Power and Prediction
- The Disruptive Economics of Artificial Intelligence
- De: Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans, Avi Goldfarb
- Narrado por: Tom Beyer
- Duración: 10 h y 7 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 119
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 102
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Historia4 out of 5 stars 102
In their bestselling first book, Prediction Machines, eminent economists Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans, and Avi Goldfarb explained the simple yet game-changing economics of AI. Now, in Power and Prediction, they go deeper, examining the most basic unit of analysis: the decision. The authors explain that the two key decision-making ingredients are prediction and judgment, and we perform both together in our minds, often without realizing it.
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5 out of 5 stars
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Inspire system thinking with informative examples
- De Lucy A. Pithecus en 11-16-22
De: Ajay Agrawal, y otros
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The Decision Book
- Fifty Models for Strategic Thinking (Fully Revised Edition)
- De: Mikael Krogerus, Roman Tschappeler, Jenny Piening
- Narrado por: Timothy Andrés Pabon
- Duración: 1 h y 45 m
- Versión completa
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General4 out of 5 stars 73
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 66
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Historia4 out of 5 stars 65
Whether you're a chronic second-guesser or just eager for new ways to look at your world, Mikael Krogerus and Roman Tschäppeler will teach you how to improve your understanding of the dilemmas you face and how to make better decisions every day. Taught in MBA courses and elsewhere, The Decision Book contains classics like the Swiss cheese model for reviewing mistakes and the personal performance model for testing whether or not to switch jobs. This revised edition includes a model for identifying cognitive biases and the expectation model to help you choose a life partner.
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3 out of 5 stars
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Buy the physical book
- De Preston en 09-21-18
De: Mikael Krogerus, y otros
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Radical Uncertainty
- Decision-Making Beyond the Numbers
- De: John Kay, Mervyn King
- Narrado por: Roger Davis
- Duración: 15 h y 50 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 107
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 89
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 88
Radical uncertainty changes the way we should think about decision-making. For over half a century economics has assumed that people behave rationally by optimizing among well-defined choices. Behavioral economics questioned how far people are rational, pointing to the cognitive biases that seem to describe actual behavior.
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4 out of 5 stars
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At 1:23:50: "we must expect ... a virus"
- De Philo en 03-18-20
De: John Kay, y otros
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Mental Models: Mastering the Art of Clear Thinking
- Build smarter frameworks for decisions, problem-solving, and understanding the world.
- De: John Cousins
- Narrado por: Virtual Voice
- Duración: 4 h y 24 m
- Versión completa
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General5 out of 5 stars 1
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Narración:4 out of 5 stars 1
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Historia5 out of 5 stars 1
Mastering Mental Models: A Guide to Clear Thinking and Better Decisions Build smarter frameworks for decisions, problem-solving, and understanding the world. Your ability to think clearly and make sound decisions is your most valuable asset. Mastering Mental Models is your guide to harnessing the power of proven frameworks that simplify complexity, sharpen decision-making, and unlock success. This book introduces you to the most effective mental models—timeless principles used by the world’s greatest thinkers, leaders, and innovators. From the Pareto Principle to First Principles ...
De: John Cousins
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A New Way to Think
- Your Guide to Superior Management Effectiveness
- De: Roger L. Martin
- Narrado por: Stephen R. Thorne
- Duración: 7 h y 58 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 102
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 86
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 86
Over a stellar career, Roger Martin has advised the CEOs of some of the world's most successful companies. From the beginning, he noted that almost every executive he talked to had a "model"—a framework or way of thinking that guided their strategy and activities. But these models tended to become automatic, so much so that when one didn't work, the typical response was just to apply it again—with greater enthusiasm.
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4 out of 5 stars
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Okay… a lot of people culture from the early 2010’s
- De Thammy M. en 06-03-23
De: Roger L. Martin
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Nudge: The Final Edition
- Improving Decisions About Money, Health, and the Environment
- De: Richard H. Thaler, Cass R. Sunstein
- Narrado por: Sean Pratt
- Duración: 11 h y 33 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 1,044
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 875
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 865
Since the original publication of Nudge more than a decade ago, the title has entered the vocabulary of businesspeople, policy makers, engaged citizens, and consumers everywhere. The book has given rise to more than 200 "nudge units" in governments around the world and countless groups of behavioral scientists in every part of the economy. It has taught us how to use thoughtful "choice architecture" - a concept the authors invented - to help us make better decisions for ourselves, our families, and our society.
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2 out of 5 stars
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Doesn’t include a Pdf of the images the book calls out
- De John O'Connell en 08-03-21
De: Richard H. Thaler, y otros
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The Long Game
- How to Be a Long-Term Thinker in a Short-Term World
- De: Dorie Clark
- Narrado por: Dorie Clark
- Duración: 5 h y 23 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 286
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 244
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 244
It's no secret that we're pushed to the limit. Today's professionals feel rushed, overwhelmed, and perennially behind. How can we break out of the cycle and create the kind of interesting, meaningful lives that we all seek? Just as CEOs who optimize for quarterly profits often fail to make the strategic investments necessary for long-term growth, the same is true in our own personal and professional lives.
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1 out of 5 stars
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Worse version of a book that’s already been written
- De Chris B en 12-31-21
De: Dorie Clark
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Cybersecurity
- The Insights You Need from Harvard Business Review
- De: Harvard Business Review, Alex Blau, Andrew Burt, y otros
- Narrado por: Jonathan Todd Ross
- Duración: 2 h y 56 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 30
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 25
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 25
No data is completely safe. Cyberattacks on companies and individuals are on the rise and growing not only in number but also in ferocity. And while you may think your company has taken all the precautionary steps to prevent an attack, no individual, company, or country is safe. Cybersecurity can no longer be left exclusively to IT specialists. Improving and increasing data security practices and identifying suspicious activity is everyone's responsibility, from the boardroom to the break room.
De: Harvard Business Review, y otros
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Bulletproof Problem Solving
- The One Skill That Changes Everything
- De: Charles Conn, Robert McLean
- Narrado por: Jonathan Cowley
- Duración: 7 h y 34 m
- Versión completa
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General4 out of 5 stars 103
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Narración:4 out of 5 stars 85
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Historia4 out of 5 stars 86
Complex problem solving is at the very top of the list of essential skills for career progression in the modern world. But how problem solving is taught in our schools, universities, businesses, and organizations comes up short. In Bulletproof Problem Solving: The One Skill That Changes Everything, you'll learn the seven-step systematic approach to creative problem solving developed in top consulting firms that will work in any field or industry, turning you into a highly sought-after, bulletproof problem solver who can tackle challenges at which others balk.
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5 out of 5 stars
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Graphics Appendix Please
- De Luke Riley en 08-22-19
De: Charles Conn, y otros
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An Introduction to Information Theory
- Symbols, Signals and Noise
- De: John R. Pierce
- Narrado por: Kyle Tait
- Duración: 10 h y 12 m
- Versión completa
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General4 out of 5 stars 60
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Narración:4 out of 5 stars 51
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Historia4 out of 5 stars 51
Behind the familiar surfaces of the telephone, radio, and television lies a sophisticated and intriguing body of knowledge known as information theory. This is the theory that has permitted the rapid development of all sorts of communication, from color television to the clear transmission of photographs from the vicinity of Jupiter. Even more revolutionary progress is expected in the future.
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3 out of 5 stars
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Not bad, but...
- De Jane Doe en 06-26-20
De: John R. Pierce
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Liars: Falsehoods and Free Speech in an Age of Deception
- De: Cass R. Sunstein
- Narrado por: Jeff Harding
- Duración: 4 h y 58 m
- Versión completa
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General4 out of 5 stars 12
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 9
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Historia4 out of 5 stars 9
Lying has been with us from time immemorial. Yet today is different - and in many respects worse. All over the world, people are circulating damaging lies, and these falsehoods are amplified as never before through powerful social media platforms that reach billions. Liars are saying that COVID-19 is a hoax. They are claiming that vaccines cause autism. In the face of those problems, the renowned legal scholar Cass Sunstein probes the fundamental question of how we can deter lies while also protecting freedom of speech.
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5 out of 5 stars
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Thought provoking
- De Amazon Customer en 05-05-25
De: Cass R. Sunstein
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Think Twice
- Harnessing the Power of Counterintuition
- De: Michael J. Mauboussin
- Narrado por: Walter Dixon
- Duración: 5 h y 21 m
- Versión completa
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General4 out of 5 stars 248
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 204
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Historia4 out of 5 stars 204
How to Stop Yourself Before You Make Another Costly Decision - No one intentionally makes bad decisions. Yet we make them all the time. In fact, some of the worst disasters in recent history - the collapse of major investment banks, the global financial meltdown - were the result of seemingly reasonable decisions made by a lot of smart people. How does this happen? Michael J. Mauboussin argues that the correct process for deciding well - especially when the stakes are high - conflicts with how our minds naturally work.
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1 out of 5 stars
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Nothing original
- De Kilgore Trout en 09-01-18
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Irrational Exuberance
- Revised and Expanded Third Edition
- De: Robert J. Shiller
- Narrado por: Mike Chamberlain
- Duración: 13 h y 47 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 146
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 117
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 116
With high stock and bond prices and the rising cost of housing, the post-subprime boom may well turn out to be another illustration of Shiller's influential argument that psychologically driven volatility is an inherent characteristic of all asset markets. In other words, Irrational Exuberance is as relevant as ever. Previous editions covered the stock and housing markets - and famously predicted their crashes. This edition expands its coverage to include the bond market, so that the book now addresses all of the major investment markets.
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3 out of 5 stars
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Still Relevant After 21 Years
- De Tom en 06-08-21
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The Basic Laws of Human Stupidity
- De: Carlo M. Cipolla, Nassim Nicholas Taleb - foreword
- Narrado por: Paul Boehmer
- Duración: 54 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 413
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 353
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 350
Throughout history, a powerful force has hindered the growth of human welfare and happiness. It is more powerful than the Mafia or the military. It has global catastrophic effects and can be found anywhere from the world's most powerful boardrooms to your local bar. It is human stupidity. Carlo M. Cipolla, noted professor of economic history at the UC Berkeley, created this vitally important book in order to detect and neutralize its threat.
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2 out of 5 stars
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What do you have to loose?
- De Andres en 04-06-21
De: Carlo M. Cipolla, y otros
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The Elephant in the Brain
- Hidden Motives in Everyday Life
- De: Kevin Simler, Robin Hanson
- Narrado por: Jeffrey Kafer
- Duración: 10 h y 26 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 2,580
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 2,195
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 2,186
Human beings are primates, and primates are political animals. Our brains, therefore, are designed not just to hunt and gather but also to help us get ahead socially, often via deception and self-deception. But while we may be self-interested schemers, we benefit by pretending otherwise. The less we know about our own ugly motives, the better - and thus, we don't like to talk, or even think, about the extent of our selfishness. This is "the elephant in the brain".
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2 out of 5 stars
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Let Me Save You the Credit
- De Evert en 03-16-19
De: Kevin Simler, y otros
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Nudge
- Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth, and Happiness [Expanded Edition]
- De: Richard H. Thaler, Cass R. Sunstein
- Narrado por: Sean Pratt
- Duración: 11 h y 26 m
- Versión completa
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General4 out of 5 stars 3,292
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 2,628
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Historia4 out of 5 stars 2,613
Every day, we make decisions on topics ranging from personal investments to schools for our children to the meals we eat to the causes we champion. Unfortunately, we often choose poorly. The reason, the authors explain, is that, being human, we are all susceptible to various biases that can lead us to blunder. Our mistakes make us poorer and less healthy; we often make bad decisions involving education, personal finance, health care, mortgages and credit cards, the family, and even the planet itself.
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3 out of 5 stars
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An overly long Nudge in the right direction
- De Jay en 06-08-13
De: Richard H. Thaler, y otros
When you first hear the lists the author has of all the biases and remedies, don’t be nervous. He does a good job and isn’t boring
Very good book
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Just made my top ten biz books list
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Phenomenal Read!!
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