
The Precipice
Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity
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Narrado por:
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Toby Ord
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De:
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Toby Ord
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This urgent and eye-opening book makes the case that protecting humanity's future is the central challenge of our time.
If all goes well, human history is just beginning. Our species could survive for billions of years - enough time to end disease, poverty, and injustice, and to flourish in ways unimaginable today. But this vast future is at risk. With the advent of nuclear weapons, humanity entered a new age, where we face existential catastrophes - those from which we could never come back. Since then, these dangers have only multiplied, from climate change to engineered pathogens and artificial intelligence. If we do not act fast to reach a place of safety, it will soon be too late.
Drawing on over a decade of research, The Precipice explores the cutting-edge science behind the risks we face. It puts them in the context of the greater story of humanity: showing how ending these risks is among the most pressing moral issues of our time. And it points the way forward, to the actions and strategies that can safeguard humanity.
An Oxford philosopher committed to putting ideas into action, Toby Ord has advised the US National Intelligence Council, the UK Prime Minister's Office, and the World Bank on the biggest questions facing humanity. In The Precipice, he offers a startling reassessment of human history, the future we are failing to protect, and the steps we must take to ensure that our generation is not the last.
©2020 Toby Ord (P)2020 Recorded BooksLos oyentes también disfrutaron...
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A new world is emerging before our eyes, while the unsustainable world of the past struggles to continue. Both worlds reflect the beliefs of our past. Both exist - but only for now. Which world do you choose? Best-selling author and visionary scientist Gregg Braden suggests that the hottest issues that divide us as families, nations, and civilizations-seemingly separate concerns such as war, terror, abortion, suicide, genocide, the death penalty, poverty, economic collapse, and nuclear war - are actually related.
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Good Information
- De David en 08-13-12
De: Gregg Braden
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The Vanishing Face of Gaia
- A Final Warning
- De: James Lovelock
- Narrado por: Simon Vance
- Duración: 6 h y 38 m
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In The Vanishing Face of Gaia, British scientist James Lovelock predicts global warming will lead to a Hot Epoch. Lovelock is best known for formulating the controversial Gaia theory in the 1970s, with Ruth Margulis of the University of Massachusetts, which states that organisms interact with and regulate Earth's surface and atmosphere. We ignore this interaction at our peril.
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A New Perspective - A Must Listen - Very Moving
- De Thomas en 01-29-12
De: James Lovelock
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Know This
- Today's Most Interesting and Important Scientific Ideas, Discoveries, and Developments
- De: John Brockman
- Narrado por: Gabra Zackman, Dan John Miller
- Duración: 14 h y 39 m
- Versión completa
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Historia
Scientific developments radically alter our understanding of the world. Whether it's technology, climate change, health research, or the latest revelations of neuroscience, physics, or psychology, science has, as Edge editor John Brockman says, "become a big story, if not the big story". In that spirit this new addition to Edge.org's fascinating series asks a powerful and provocative question: What do you consider the most interesting and important recent scientific news?
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Pete and Repeat and Re-repeat
- De Daniel L en 02-25-18
De: John Brockman
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Radical Abundance
- How a Revolution in Nanotechnology Will Change Civilization
- De: K. Eric Drexler
- Narrado por: Tim Pabon
- Duración: 11 h y 53 m
- Versión completa
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K. Eric Drexler is the founding father of nanotechnology - the science of engineering on a molecular level. In Radical Abundance, he shows how rapid scientific progress is about to change our world. Thanks to atomically precise manufacturing, we will soon have the power to produce radically more of what people want, and at a lower cost. The result will shake the very foundations of our economy and environment.
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Drexler Rehashes the Past
- De David en 10-19-13
De: K. Eric Drexler
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Harmony
- A New Way of Looking at Our World
- De: Charles HRH The Prince of Wales
- Narrado por: Charles HRH The Prince of Wales
- Duración: 11 h y 21 m
- Versión completa
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Historia
For the first time, HRH The Prince of Wales shares his views on how our most pressing modern challenges - from climate change to poverty - are rooted in mankind's disharmony with nature, presenting a compelling case that the solution lies in our ability to regain a balance with the world around us. With its holistic approach, this provocative and well-reasoned book takes the discussion of sustainability and climate change in a new direction.
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An Excellent Exploration
- De Sara en 03-31-16
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Warnings
- Finding Cassandras to Stop Catastrophes
- De: Richard A. Clarke, R.P. Eddy
- Narrado por: L.J. Ganser
- Duración: 12 h y 45 m
- Versión completa
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Historia
Warnings is the story of the future of national security, threatening technologies, the US economy, and possibly the fate of civilization. In Greek mythology Cassandra foresaw calamities, but was cursed by the gods to be ignored. Modern-day Cassandras clearly predicted the disasters of Katrina, Fukushima, the Great Recession, the rise of ISIS, and many more. Like the mythological Cassandra, they were ignored. There are others right now warning of impending disasters, but how do we know which warnings are likely to be right?
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On prediction, catastrophe and mitigation
- De S. Yates en 02-28-18
De: Richard A. Clarke, y otros
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Pandora's Seed
- The Unforeseen Cost of Civilization
- De: Spencer Wells
- Narrado por: Spencer Wells
- Duración: 6 h y 40 m
- Versión completa
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Historia
This new book by Spencer Wells, the internationally known geneticist, anthropologist, author, and director of the Genographic Project, focuses on the seminal event in human history: mankind's decision to become farmers rather than hunter-gatherers.
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Short and unfocused, but often quite interesting.
- De Alan en 06-23-10
De: Spencer Wells
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The Great Mental Models
- General Thinking Concepts
- De: Shane Parrish
- Narrado por: Shane Parrish
- Duración: 3 h y 23 m
- Versión completa
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Historia
The Great Mental Models: General Thinking Concepts is the first book in The Great Mental Models series designed to upgrade your thinking with the best, most useful and powerful tools so you always have the right one on hand. This volume details nine of the most versatile all-purpose mental models you can use right away to improve your decision making, your productivity, and how clearly you see the world.
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A dissapointing debut
- De Peter en 04-14-19
De: Shane Parrish
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How Soon Is Now
- From Personal Initiation to Global Transformation
- De: Daniel Pinchbeck
- Narrado por: Nathan Osgood
- Duración: 11 h y 45 m
- Versión completa
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Historia
The world needs to change. We have unleashed an ecological mega-crisis which is threatening the future of life on Earth. The actions we take over the next decade are critical. They will determine the destiny of our descendants and the fate of our world. How Soon Is Now presents a compelling manifesto for personal and planetary change. It proposes a revolutionary new narrative for a unified social movement. Through global cooperation, we can face this collective threat ecologically, socially, politically and spiritually.
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Relevant!!!!
- De Anonymous User en 12-11-23
De: Daniel Pinchbeck
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Climate Change
- What Everyone Needs to Know
- De: Joseph Romm
- Narrado por: Paul Heitsch
- Duración: 11 h y 7 m
- Versión completa
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Historia
From Joseph Romm, Chief Science Advisor for National Geographic's Years of Living Dangerously series and one of Rolling Stone's "100 people who are changing America," Climate Change offers user-friendly, scientifically rigorous answers to the most difficult (and commonly politicized) questions surrounding what climatologist Lonnie Thompson has deemed "a clear and present danger to civilization."
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Religious not scientific claims and preachings
- De Jeanne Renzo en 09-19-19
De: Joseph Romm
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Age of Discovery
- Navigating the Risks and Rewards of Our New Renaissance
- De: Ian Goldin, Chris Kutarna
- Narrado por: Mark Meadows
- Duración: 11 h y 49 m
- Versión completa
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General
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Historia
Age of Discovery explores a world on the brink of a new Renaissance and asks: how do we share more widely the benefits of unprecedented progress? How do we endure the inevitable tumult generated by accelerating change? How do we each thrive through this tangled, uncertain time? From gains in health, education, wealth and technology to crises of conflict, disease and mass migration, the similarities between today's world and that of the 15th century are both striking and prophetic: we have been here before.
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A monotonous text disguised as casual reading.
- De Rob en 07-29-16
De: Ian Goldin, y otros
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Why Geography Matters
- More Than Ever
- De: Harm de Blij
- Narrado por: John Pruden
- Duración: 14 h y 1 m
- Versión completa
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General
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Historia
In recent years our world has seen transformations of all kinds: intense climate change accompanied by significant weather extremes; deadly tsunamis caused by submarine earthquakes; unprecedented terrorist attacks; costly wars in Iraq and Afghanistan; a terrible and overlooked conflict in Equatorial Africa costing millions of lives; an economic crisis threatening the stability of the international system.
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A book that needs more than just narration
- De Organic Design en 06-10-15
De: Harm de Blij
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The Intelligence Trap
- Why Smart People Make Dumb Mistakes
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- Narrado por: Simon Slater
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Smart people are not only just as prone to making mistakes as everyone else - they may be even more susceptible to them. This is the "intelligence trap", the subject of David Robson's fascinating and provocative book. The Intelligence Trap explores cutting-edge ideas in our understanding of intelligence and expertise, including "strategic ignorance", "meta-forgetfulness", and "functional stupidity."
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Great except for one big thing
- De J. S. Noel en 12-05-22
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The Long Game
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It's no secret that we're pushed to the limit. Today's professionals feel rushed, overwhelmed, and perennially behind. How can we break out of the cycle and create the kind of interesting, meaningful lives that we all seek? Just as CEOs who optimize for quarterly profits often fail to make the strategic investments necessary for long-term growth, the same is true in our own personal and professional lives.
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Worse version of a book that’s already been written
- De Chris B en 12-31-21
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The Joy of x
- A Guided Tour of Math, from One to Infinity
- De: Steven Strogatz
- Narrado por: Jonathan Yen
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Many people take math in high school and promptly forget much of it. But math plays a part in all of our lives all of the time, whether we know it or not. In The Joy of x, Steven Strogatz expands on his hit New York Times series to explain the big ideas of math gently and clearly, with wit, and insight.
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Great listen
- De cameron en 08-16-19
De: Steven Strogatz
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The Ape That Understood the Universe
- How the Mind and Culture Evolve
- De: Steve Stewart-Williams
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The Ape That Understood the Universe is the story of the strangest animal in the world: the human animal. It opens with a question: How would an alien scientist view our species? What would it make of our sex differences, our sexual behavior, our child-rearing patterns, our moral codes, our religions, our languages, and science? The book tackles these issues by drawing on ideas from two major schools of thought: evolutionary psychology and cultural evolutionary theory.
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Power and Prediction
- The Disruptive Economics of Artificial Intelligence
- De: Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans, Avi Goldfarb
- Narrado por: Tom Beyer
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In their bestselling first book, Prediction Machines, eminent economists Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans, and Avi Goldfarb explained the simple yet game-changing economics of AI. Now, in Power and Prediction, they go deeper, examining the most basic unit of analysis: the decision. The authors explain that the two key decision-making ingredients are prediction and judgment, and we perform both together in our minds, often without realizing it.
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Inspire system thinking with informative examples
- De Lucy A. Pithecus en 11-16-22
De: Ajay Agrawal, y otros
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The Vision of the Anointed
- Self-Congratulation as a Basis for Social Policy
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- Narrado por: Jim Seybert
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The Vision of the Anointed is a devastating critique of the mindset behind the failed social policies of the past thirty years. Thomas Sowell sees what has happened not as a series of isolated mistakes, but as a logical consequence of a vision whose defects have led to disasters in education, crime, family disintegration, and other social pathology. In this book, "politically correct" theory is repeatedly confronted with facts-and sharp contradictions between the two are explained in terms of a whole set of self-congratulatory assumptions held by political and intellectual elites.
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An Absolute Masterpiece!
- De Brendan Martino en 04-04-22
De: Thomas Sowell
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The Intelligence Trap
- Why Smart People Make Dumb Mistakes
- De: David Robson
- Narrado por: Simon Slater
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Smart people are not only just as prone to making mistakes as everyone else - they may be even more susceptible to them. This is the "intelligence trap", the subject of David Robson's fascinating and provocative book. The Intelligence Trap explores cutting-edge ideas in our understanding of intelligence and expertise, including "strategic ignorance", "meta-forgetfulness", and "functional stupidity."
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Great except for one big thing
- De J. S. Noel en 12-05-22
De: David Robson
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The Long Game
- How to Be a Long-Term Thinker in a Short-Term World
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Historia
It's no secret that we're pushed to the limit. Today's professionals feel rushed, overwhelmed, and perennially behind. How can we break out of the cycle and create the kind of interesting, meaningful lives that we all seek? Just as CEOs who optimize for quarterly profits often fail to make the strategic investments necessary for long-term growth, the same is true in our own personal and professional lives.
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Worse version of a book that’s already been written
- De Chris B en 12-31-21
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The Joy of x
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- Narrado por: Jonathan Yen
- Duración: 6 h y 9 m
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General
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Historia
Many people take math in high school and promptly forget much of it. But math plays a part in all of our lives all of the time, whether we know it or not. In The Joy of x, Steven Strogatz expands on his hit New York Times series to explain the big ideas of math gently and clearly, with wit, and insight.
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Great listen
- De cameron en 08-16-19
De: Steven Strogatz
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The Ape That Understood the Universe
- How the Mind and Culture Evolve
- De: Steve Stewart-Williams
- Narrado por: Tom Lawrence
- Duración: 15 h y 53 m
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The Ape That Understood the Universe is the story of the strangest animal in the world: the human animal. It opens with a question: How would an alien scientist view our species? What would it make of our sex differences, our sexual behavior, our child-rearing patterns, our moral codes, our religions, our languages, and science? The book tackles these issues by drawing on ideas from two major schools of thought: evolutionary psychology and cultural evolutionary theory.
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Power and Prediction
- The Disruptive Economics of Artificial Intelligence
- De: Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans, Avi Goldfarb
- Narrado por: Tom Beyer
- Duración: 10 h y 7 m
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In their bestselling first book, Prediction Machines, eminent economists Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans, and Avi Goldfarb explained the simple yet game-changing economics of AI. Now, in Power and Prediction, they go deeper, examining the most basic unit of analysis: the decision. The authors explain that the two key decision-making ingredients are prediction and judgment, and we perform both together in our minds, often without realizing it.
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Inspire system thinking with informative examples
- De Lucy A. Pithecus en 11-16-22
De: Ajay Agrawal, y otros
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The Vision of the Anointed
- Self-Congratulation as a Basis for Social Policy
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- Narrado por: Jim Seybert
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The Vision of the Anointed is a devastating critique of the mindset behind the failed social policies of the past thirty years. Thomas Sowell sees what has happened not as a series of isolated mistakes, but as a logical consequence of a vision whose defects have led to disasters in education, crime, family disintegration, and other social pathology. In this book, "politically correct" theory is repeatedly confronted with facts-and sharp contradictions between the two are explained in terms of a whole set of self-congratulatory assumptions held by political and intellectual elites.
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An Absolute Masterpiece!
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A New Way to Think
- Your Guide to Superior Management Effectiveness
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Over a stellar career, Roger Martin has advised the CEOs of some of the world's most successful companies. From the beginning, he noted that almost every executive he talked to had a "model"—a framework or way of thinking that guided their strategy and activities. But these models tended to become automatic, so much so that when one didn't work, the typical response was just to apply it again—with greater enthusiasm.
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Okay… a lot of people culture from the early 2010’s
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De: Roger L. Martin
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The Hypomanic Edge
- The Link Between (A Little) Craziness and (A Lot of) Success in America
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Bringing his audacious and persuasive thesis to life, Gartner offers case histories of some famous Americans who represent this phenomenon of hypomania. These are the real stories you never learned in school about some of those men who made America: Columbus, who discovered the continent, thought he was the messiah. John Winthrop, who settled and defined it, believed Americans were God's new chosen people. Alexander Hamilton, the indispensable founder who envisioned America's economic future, self-destructed because of pride and impulsive behavior.
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Keep striving for greatness
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De: John D. Gartner
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Invent and Wander
- The Collected Writings of Jeff Bezos, with an Introduction by Walter Isaacson
- De: Jeff Bezos, Walter Isaacson - introduction
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In this collection of Jeff Bezos' writings - his unique and strikingly original annual shareholder letters, plus numerous speeches and interviews that provide insight into his background, his work, and the evolution of his ideas - you'll gain an insider's view of the why and how of his success. Spanning a range of topics across business and public policy, from innovation and customer obsession to climate change and outer space, this book provides a rare glimpse into how Bezos thinks about the world and where the future might take us.
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Do the right thing.
- De FULL Creative en 12-06-20
De: Jeff Bezos, y otros
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How to Build Meaningful Relationships Through Conversation
- De: Carol Ann Lloyd, The Great Courses
- Narrado por: Carol Ann Lloyd
- Duración: 5 h y 6 m
- Grabación Original
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Historia
In 10 lectures for self-development, professional communications coach and speaker Carol Ann Lloyd teaches the best ways to communicate and listen, including how to focus on understanding, how to overcome barriers and distractions, and how to clarify intentions. When listeners step back to hear what makes conversations successful, they will learn that each component of a conversation is a piece of a larger puzzle, which only fits together when thoughtfully considered and executed.
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Only Got 5 Minutes In…
- De Shayla en 04-06-20
De: Carol Ann Lloyd, y otros
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The Forgotten Highlander
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Alistair Urquhart was a soldier in the Gordon Highlanders captured by the Japanese in Singapore. He not only survived working on the notorious Bridge on the River Kwai, but he was subsequently taken on one of the Japanese 'hellships' which was torpedoed. Nearly everyone else on board died and Urquhart spent 5 days alone on a raft in the South China Sea before being rescued by a whaling ship. He was taken to Japan and then forced to work in a mine near Nagasaki. Two months later a nuclear bomb dropped just ten miles away . . .
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The Greatness Guide
- 101 Lessons for Making What’s Good at Work and in Life Even Better
- De: Robin Sharma
- Narrado por: Adam Verner
- Duración: 4 h y 17 m
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Each one of us is called to greatness. We can have a significant impact on the world around us - if we so choose. If you are looking to craft an extraordinary life, The Greatness Guide is the powerful and practical handbook that will inspire you. Passionate, provocative, and full of big ideas that will challenge and transform, The Greatness Guide is one of those rare books that will release your potential and awaken your best self. Make the leap today and learn what the best do to become even better.
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Listen repeatedly
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Anchored
- How to Befriend Your Nervous System Using Polyvagal Theory
- De: Deb Dana, Stephen Porges PhD - Foreword by
- Narrado por: Deb Dana
- Duración: 6 h y 22 m
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An intense conversation, a spat with a partner, or even an obnoxious tweet - these situations aren't life-or-death, yet we often react as if they are. That's because our bodies treat most perceived threats the same way. Yet one approach has proven to be incredibly effective in training our nervous system to stop overreacting: polyvagal theory. In Anchored, expert teacher Deb Dana shares a down-to-earth presentation of polyvagal theory, then brings the science to life with practical, everyday ways to transform your relationship with your body.
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Know thyself.
- De Debora en 04-17-22
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You, Happier
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- De: Daniel Amen
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- Duración: 10 h y 23 m
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Historia
Happiness is a brain function. With a healthier brain always comes a happier life. After studying more than 200,000 brain scans of people from 155 countries, Dr. Amen has discovered five primary brain types and seven neuroscience secrets that influence happiness. In You, Happier, he explains them and offers practical science-based strategies for optimizing your happiness.
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No PDF's 🤔?
- De DBB en 03-31-22
De: Daniel Amen
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Getting Along
- How to Work with Anyone (Even Difficult People)
- De: Amy Gallo
- Narrado por: Amy Gallo
- Duración: 7 h y 44 m
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General
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Narración:
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Historia
Work relationships can be hard. The stress of dealing with difficult people dampens our creativity and productivity, degrades our ability to think clearly and make sound decisions, and causes us to disengage. In Getting Along, workplace expert and Harvard Business Review podcast host Amy Gallo identifies eight familiar types of difficult coworkers—the insecure boss, the passive-aggressive peer, the know-it-all, the biased coworker, and others—and provides strategies tailored to dealing constructively with each one.
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Getting Along
- De Anonymous User en 02-09-24
De: Amy Gallo
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Order from Chaos
- The Everyday Grind of Staying Organized with Adult ADHD
- De: Jaclyn Paul
- Narrado por: Vanessa Daniels
- Duración: 6 h y 37 m
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General
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Historia
Late fees on forgotten bills. A home full of clutter and unfinished projects. Eroding respect with your friends, family, and colleagues. Health worries from doctor's appointments you keep meaning to schedule. Nonstop anxiety as you wait for the other shoe to drop. You deserve better. Order from Chaos will teach you how your brain works and how to stop getting in your own way.
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Disorganized & boring
- De Reviewer 123 en 10-29-21
De: Jaclyn Paul
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The Indignities of Being a Woman
- De: Merrill Markoe, Megan Koester
- Duración: 8 h y 5 m
- Versión completa
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Historia
The Indignities of Being a Woman candidly traces the history of womanhood and investigates how much things have really changed for womankind. By carefully x-raying areas such as body image, marriage, mental illness, fashion, and politics, this audiobook examines what it was like to be a woman in the past versus what it’s like now, when women are constantly told equality between the sexes exists but reality proves otherwise.
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Insert Political Joke Here
- De Adam en 02-16-19
De: Merrill Markoe, y otros
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Collapse
- The Fall of the Soviet Union
- De: Vladislav M. Zubok
- Narrado por: David de Vries
- Duración: 23 h y 50 m
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General
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Historia
In 1945, the Soviet Union controlled half of Europe and was a founding member of the United Nations. By 1991, it had an army four million strong, 5,000 nuclear-tipped missiles, and was the second biggest producer of oil in the world. But soon afterward, the union sank into an economic crisis and was torn apart by nationalist separatism. Its collapse was one of the seismic shifts of the 20th century.
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Hopefully Not Prescient
- De Joshua en 01-29-22
Lo que los oyentes dicen sobre The Precipice
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- CJInfantino
- 01-28-25
A must listen!
I could not stop listening to this book. It was written and performed in a way that made the topics easy to understand and enjoyable to listen to.
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Historia
- Ben West
- 04-07-20
Good summary of long-term risks
Good overview and introduction to long-term risks facing humanity. It balances accurate summaries of the problem with optimistic and hopeful outlooks for the future, as well as things readers can do to improve the likelihood that the future is positive.
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esto le resultó útil a 4 personas
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- Rose C
- 03-20-23
Extremely important and impactful
This book by Toby Ord is extremely important review of the landscape of what could end Humanity completely, and what we can do about it. This is one of the most important books for this extremely important century.
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- Chérie
- 02-06-21
Future of hamanity
Such a wonderful thought provoking book, I am recommending it to everyone I know and don’t know - we as humans need to focus more on what actions mean for tomorrow. Toby Ord provides the science, history, and facts to steer us on a path to be better!
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- The Bookie
- 09-24-21
Outstanding book on a critical topic
I'm not gonna lie... If you don't want to be disturbed, maybe even a little depressed, beware of this book. Its subject matter isn't exactly cheerful. And lets be honest, humanity is facing multiple potential existinction level threats, many of which are completely manmade, in the very near future. Other possible extinction threats are not driven by human action, though the risk may be mitigated with targeted and thoughtful action right now, before those threats can become imminent.
Regardless of the source of our possible demise, mankind is in the unique position to understand, to act, or to stick our heads in the proverbial sand and hope the Big Scary just goes away... Which is unlikely.
Toby Ord was at least prescient and cognizant enough of humanity's precarious position on the precipice of complete annihilation to analyze the statistical probability of each way we could feasibly kill ourselves off. I don't want to give it away, but let's just say his estimate of this probability in the next 100 years is astonishing... And dreadful.
So, you should read this book. If you have children or want to, read this book. If you merely care about mankind's future, read this book. Then take what you learn and put some effort towards preventing these contingencies. Please.
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- Greg Stanley
- 07-04-20
Rquired reading for all citizens of the cosmos!
The topics in this book are the most important to contemplate. Wake up and live!
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- Anonymous User
- 08-22-22
Excellent
This book is amazing, longtermism will be the philosophy of the future for all
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- Adam Brown
- 08-09-20
Existential risk and exponential opportunity
An excellent introduction. Not as in depth, but more accessible, than “global existential risks”. 5 stars.
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- Matthew Parrish
- 02-09-21
Excellent considerations
This book presents some very interesting considerations for the risks humanity faces but also presents the potential of humanity in the long term. I highly recommend it.
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- User
- 07-31-22
Brilliant book, brilliant subject, brilliant author
Toby Ord is the perfect writer for the topic. The book is methodical, but never slow; exciting, but never sensationalized; moral, but never preachy. It shines most while delving deep into fascinating topics that actually impact our generation and the ones that follow.
Ord will make you reevaluate what the future means and how you view the world in which you live. Personally, reading this book made me switch careers and gift this book to three others — all within just the first couple months after finishing.
Read “The Precipice.” It is — honestly — my favorite book.
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