
Fooled by the Winners
How Survivor Bias Deceives Us
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Narrado por:
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Jamie Hanes
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De:
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David Lockwood
Acerca de esta escucha
Fooled by the Winners is a book about survivor bias, the cognitive error of focusing on the winners, the successes, and the living. But in many instances, we can learn more from those who have lost, failed, or died.
After listening this book, you will understand how survivor bias is often used to deceive us. You will learn how to stop paying for financial services that promise more than they deliver, for health care that doesn't make us healthier, for diets that don't make us slimmer, and for advice books that don't offer good advice. You will also come away with a different view of our past, including our perilous evolutionary journey and how history has often been written by the winners. You will come to understand how we are fooled by the winners in warfare, such as in the deployment of nuclear weapons and the most famous example of survivor bias—the missing allied bombers of WWII.
Previous studies of survivor bias have been inaccessible to most, housed in formula-laden statistical journals. But you won't find any math or technical jargon here. Through compelling analysis and the real-life stories, this book demonstrates the deceptive influence of survivor bias in our daily lives and on our thinking.
©2021 David Lockwood (P)2022 TantorLos oyentes también disfrutaron...
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OTHER WORLDS
- De chetyarbrough.blog en 01-10-16
De: Chris Impey
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Dark Winter
- How the Sun Is Causing a 30-Year Cold Spell
- De: John L. Casey
- Narrado por: David Stifel
- Duración: 5 h y 4 m
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Climate change has been a perplexing problem for years. Casey's research into the Sun's activity, which began almost a decade ago, resulted in discovery of a solar cycle that is now reversing from its global warming phase to that of dangerous global cooling for the next 30 years or more. This new cold climate will dramatically impact the world's citizens.
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Global Warming Is A Hoax
- De Catamount en 11-20-17
De: John L. Casey
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Simply Electrifying
- The Technology That Transformed the World, from Benjamin Franklin to Elon Musk
- De: Craig R. Roach
- Narrado por: Tom Perkins
- Duración: 15 h y 1 m
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Simply Electrifying: The Technology That Transformed the World, from Benjamin Franklin to Elon Musk brings to life the 250-year history of electricity through the stories of the men and women who used it to transform our world: Benjamin Franklin, James Watt, Michael Faraday, Samuel F.B. Morse, Thomas Edison, Samuel Insull, Albert Einstein, Rachel Carson, Elon Musk, and more. In the process, it reveals for the first time the complete, thrilling, and often dangerous story of electricity's historic discovery, development, and worldwide application.
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decent, but ended up disappointing.
- De Alexander Douglass en 12-28-18
De: Craig R. Roach
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Accessory to War
- The Unspoken Alliance Between Astrophysics and the Military
- De: Avis Lang, Neil deGrasse Tyson
- Narrado por: Courtney B. Vance, Neil deGrasse Tyson - introduction
- Duración: 18 h y 38 m
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In this fascinating foray into the centuries-old relationship between science and military power, acclaimed astrophysicist Neil deGrasse Tyson and writer-researcher Avis Lang examine how the methods and tools of astrophysics have been enlisted in the service of war. "The overlap is strong, and the knowledge flows in both directions," say the authors, because astrophysicists and military planners care about many of the same things: multi-spectral detection, ranging, tracking, imaging, high ground, nuclear fusion, and access to space. Tyson and Lang call it a "curiously complicit" alliance.
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Inspiring, educational, patriotic.
- De Kevin en 09-17-18
De: Avis Lang, y otros
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The Great Oil Conspiracy
- How the U.S. Government Hid the Nazi Discovery of Abiotic Oil from the American People
- De: Jerome R. Corsi
- Narrado por: Fleet Cooper
- Duración: 3 h y 22 m
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At the end of World War II, U.S. intelligence agents confiscated thousands of Nazi documents on what was known as the “Fischer-Tropsch Process” - a series of equations developed by German chemists unlocking the secrets of how oil is formed. When the Nazis took power, Germany had resolved to develop enough synthetic oil to wage war successfully, even without abundant national oil reserves.
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Complete and total waste of time
- De Dustin en 07-25-14
De: Jerome R. Corsi
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The Real Global Warming Disaster
- Is the Obsession with 'Climate Change' Turning Out to Be the Most Costly Scientific Blunder in History?
- De: Christopher Booker
- Narrado por: Ric Jerrom
- Duración: 16 h y 18 m
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This original audiobook considers one of the most extraordinary scientific and political stories of our time: how in the 1980s a handful of scientists came to believe that mankind faced catastrophe from runaway global warming, and how today this has persuaded politicians to land us with what promises to be the biggest bill in history. Christopher Booker interweaves the science of global warming with that of its growing political consequences, showing how just when the politicians are threatening to change our Western way of life beyond recognition, the scientific evidence behind the global warming theory is being challenged like never before.
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The message made my blood boil
- De George en 10-14-14
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Pandora's Seed
- The Unforeseen Cost of Civilization
- De: Spencer Wells
- Narrado por: Spencer Wells
- Duración: 6 h y 40 m
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This new book by Spencer Wells, the internationally known geneticist, anthropologist, author, and director of the Genographic Project, focuses on the seminal event in human history: mankind's decision to become farmers rather than hunter-gatherers.
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Short and unfocused, but often quite interesting.
- De Alan en 06-23-10
De: Spencer Wells
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The Last Hours of Ancient Sunlight: Revised and Updated
- The Fate of the World and What We Can Do Before It's Too Late
- De: Thom Hartmann, Neale Donald Walsch - associate editor
- Narrado por: Paul Boehmer
- Duración: 18 h y 2 m
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While everything appears to be collapsing around us - ecodamage, genetic engineering, virulent diseases, water shortages, global famine, wars - we can still do something about it and create a world that will work for us and for our children's children. The inspiration for Leonardo DiCaprio's feature documentary movie The 11th Hour, The Last Hours of Ancient Sunlight details what is happening to our planet, the reasons for our culture's blind behavior, and how we can fix the problem.
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One of the Most Important Books of our Time
- De Jana en 04-24-20
De: Thom Hartmann, y otros
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Climate Shock
- The Economic Consequences of a Hotter Planet
- De: Gernot Wagner, Martin L. Weitzman
- Narrado por: Grover Gardner
- Duración: 4 h y 54 m
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Wagner and Martin Weitzman explore in lively, clear terms the likely repercussions of a hotter planet, drawing on and expanding from work previously unavailable to general audiences. They show that the longer we wait to act, the more likely an extreme event will happen. A city might go underwater.
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Nuance, balance, risk management.
- De John Christens en 11-23-23
De: Gernot Wagner, y otros
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The Age of Radiance
- The Epic Rise and Dramatic Fall of the Atomic Era
- De: Craig Nelson
- Narrado por: George Newbern
- Duración: 14 h y 40 m
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From the New York Times best-selling author of Rocket Men and the award-winning biographer of Thomas Paine comes the first complete history of the Atomic Age, a brilliant, magisterial account of the men and women who uncovered the secrets of the nucleus, brought its power to America, and ignited the 20th century.
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Strong finish
- De David's Opinions and Reviews en 05-04-14
De: Craig Nelson
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It's Better Than It Looks
- De: Gregg Easterbrook
- Narrado por: Oliver Wyman
- Duración: 14 h y 18 m
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Most people who pay attention to the news would tell you that 2017 is one of the worst years in recent memory. We're facing a series of deeply troubling, even existential problems: fascism, terrorism, environmental collapse, racial and economic inequality, and more. Yet this narrative misses something important: by almost every meaningful measure, the modern world is better than it ever has been. In the United States, disease, crime, discrimination, and most forms of pollution are in long-term decline, while longevity and education keep rising.
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Too political
- De Anonymous User en 07-12-18
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Mars Direct
- Space Exploration, the Red Planet, and the Human Future
- De: Robert Zubrin
- Narrado por: Erik Synnestvedt
- Duración: 1 h y 27 m
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The human race is at a crossroads. In the coming years, we will make decisions regarding our human spaceflight program that will lead to one of two familiar futures: the open universe of Star Trek, where we allow ourselves the opportunity to spread our wings and attempt to flourish as an interplanetary species - or the closed, dystopian, and ultimately self-destructive world of Soylent Green. If we ever hope to live in the future that is the former scenario, our first stepping stone must be a manned mission to Mars.
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Not what i thought it was going to be..
- De DUDE en 05-07-13
De: Robert Zubrin
Lo que los oyentes dicen sobre Fooled by the Winners
Calificaciones medias de los clientesReseñas - Selecciona las pestañas a continuación para cambiar el origen de las reseñas.
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- Dfire
- 06-03-23
Fantastic book for curious intellectuals
I’m usually hesitant to read books with such few reviews. But if you are a curious intellectual who is interested in statistics, math and science you will love it.
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