Prediction Machines
The Simple Economics of Artificial Intelligence
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Narrated by:
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LJ Ganser
About this listen
"What does AI mean for your business? Read this book to find out." (Hal Varian, Chief Economist, Google)
Artificial intelligence does the seemingly impossible, magically bringing machines to life - driving cars, trading stocks, and teaching children. But facing the sea change that AI will bring can be paralyzing. How should companies set strategies, governments design policies, and people plan their lives for a world so different from what we know? In the face of such uncertainty, many analysts either cower in fear or predict an impossibly sunny future.
But in Prediction Machines, three eminent economists recast the rise of AI as a drop in the cost of prediction. With this single, masterful stroke, they lift the curtain on the AI-is-magic hype and show how basic tools from economics provide clarity about the AI revolution and a basis for action by CEOs, managers, policy makers, investors, and entrepreneurs.
When AI is framed as cheap prediction, its extraordinary potential becomes clear: Prediction is at the heart of making decisions under uncertainty. Our businesses and personal lives are riddled with such decisions. Prediction tools increase productivity - operating machines, handling documents, communicating with customers. Uncertainty constrains strategy. Better prediction creates opportunities for new business structures and strategies to compete.
Penetrating, fun, and always insightful and practical, Prediction Machines follows its inescapable logic to explain how to navigate the changes on the horizon. The impact of AI will be profound, but the economic framework for understanding it is surprisingly simple.
PLEASE NOTE: When you purchase this title, the accompanying PDF will be available in your Audible Library along with the audio.
©2018 Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans, Avi Goldfarb (P)2018 Audible, Inc.Listeners also enjoyed...
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- By: Tomasz Tunguz, Frank Bien
- Narrated by: James Patrick Cronin
- Length: 5 hrs and 37 mins
- Unabridged
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Winning with Data explores the cultural changes big data brings to business, and shows you how to adapt your organization to leverage data to maximum effect. Authors Tomasz Tunguz and Frank Bien draw on extensive background in big data, business intelligence, and business strategy to provide a blueprint for companies looking to move head-on into the data wave. Instrumentation is discussed in detail, but the core of the change is in the culture.
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Content marketing
- By Adam Winn on 12-22-16
By: Tomasz Tunguz, and others
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The Amazon Way on IoT
- 10 Principles for Every Leader from the World's Leading Internet of Things Strategies
- By: John Rossman
- Narrated by: Christopher Lane
- Length: 5 hrs and 13 mins
- Unabridged
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The Amazon Way on IoT is for the leader who wants to understand how the Internet of things is transforming business and society. Listeners will discover business cases, key concepts, technologies and tools to help develop, explain and execute their own IoT approach through understanding Amazon's and other leading companies sophisticated IoT technologies and strategies.
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Very insightful, but quite boring
- By Riaan on 02-21-17
By: John Rossman
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Big Data in Practice
- How 45 Successful Companies Used Big Data Analytics to Deliver Extraordinary Results
- By: Bernard Marr
- Narrated by: Piers Hampton
- Length: 7 hrs and 25 mins
- Unabridged
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The best-selling author of Big Data is back, this time with a unique and in-depth insight into how specific companies use big data. Big data is on the tip of everyone's tongue. Everyone understands its power and importance, but many fail to grasp the actionable steps and resources required to utilise it effectively. This book fills the knowledge gap by showing how major companies are using big data every day, from an up-close, on-the-ground perspective.
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Good book for managers
- By Capnbody on 01-08-18
By: Bernard Marr
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Jobs to Be Done
- A Roadmap for Customer-Centered Innovation
- By: Stephen Wunker, David Farber, Jessica Wattman
- Narrated by: Tim Andres Pabon
- Length: 4 hrs and 52 mins
- Unabridged
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Jobs to Be Done gives you a clear-cut framework for thinking about your business, outlines a road map for discovering new markets, new products, and new services, and helps you generate creative opportunities to innovate your way to success.
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YouTube talks are better.
- By BizTech Readings on 12-27-16
By: Stephen Wunker, and others
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The Future of the Professions
- How Technology Will Transform the Work of Human Experts
- By: Richard Susskind, Daniel Susskind
- Narrated by: John Lee
- Length: 12 hrs and 39 mins
- Unabridged
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This book predicts the decline of today's professions and describes the people and systems that will replace them. In an Internet society, according to Richard Susskind and Daniel Susskind, we will neither need nor want doctors, teachers, accountants, architects, the clergy, consultants, lawyers, and many others to work as they did in the 20th century.
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I Hope It's Not All True
- By John on 05-01-16
By: Richard Susskind, and others
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The Wide Lens
- A New Strategy for Innovation
- By: Ron Adner
- Narrated by: Walter Dixon
- Length: 6 hrs and 19 mins
- Unabridged
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How can great companies do everything right - identify real customer needs, deliver excellent innovations, beat their competitors to market - and still fail? The sad truth is that many companies fail because they focus too intensely on their own innovations, and then neglect the innovation ecosystems on which their success depends. In our increasingly interdependent world, winning requires more than just delivering on your own promises. It means ensuring that a host of partners - some visible, some hidden - deliver on their promises, too.
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Great book
- By Kindle Customer on 12-25-21
By: Ron Adner
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Attacker's Advantage
- Turning Uncertainty into Breakthrough Opportunities
- By: Ram Charan
- Narrated by: Mark Bramhall
- Length: 6 hrs and 8 mins
- Unabridged
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In The Attacker's Advantage, Charan reveals the upside of uncertainty for those leaders who are nimbly positioned to anticipate the catalysts of disruption and embrace change. He updates and adapts the principles of his previous best sellers to address the current turbulent business environment, cutting through the veil of complexity to concentrate on the new customer needs and expectations and providing the tools for corporate leaders to take their companies to a higher level.
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Fantastic book - volume lower than usual
- By James Gajewski on 06-14-15
By: Ram Charan
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AI Superpowers
- China, Silicon Valley, and the New World Order
- By: Kai-Fu Lee
- Narrated by: Mikael Naramore
- Length: 9 hrs and 28 mins
- Unabridged
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In AI Superpowers, Kai-fu Lee argues powerfully that because of these unprecedented developments in AI, dramatic changes will be happening much sooner than many of us expected. Indeed, as the US-Sino AI competition begins to heat up, Lee urges the US and China to both accept and to embrace the great responsibilities that come with significant technological power.
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Compelled to listen at 2x speed
- By LEE on 09-26-18
By: Kai-Fu Lee
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Average is Over
- Powering America Beyond the Age of the Great Stagnation
- By: Tyler Cowen
- Narrated by: Andrew Garman
- Length: 8 hrs and 42 mins
- Unabridged
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The widening gap between rich and poor means dealing with one big, uncomfortable truth: If you're not at the top, you're at the bottom. The global labor market is changing radically thanks to growth at the high end and the low. About three quarters of the jobs created in the United States since the great recession pay only a bit more than minimum wage. Still, the United States has more millionaires and billionaires than any country ever, and we continue to mint them.
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Disappointing analysis of future
- By JKBart on 12-10-13
By: Tyler Cowen
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Designing for Growth
- A Design Thinking Tool Kit for Managers
- By: Jeanne Liedtka, Tim Ogilvie
- Narrated by: Nicol Zanzarella
- Length: 6 hrs and 35 mins
- Unabridged
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Jeanne Liedtka and Tim Ogilvie educate listeners on one of the hottest trends in business development: "design thinking", or the ability to turn abstract ideas into practical applications for maximal business growth. Jeanne Liedtka's recent book, The Catalyst: How YOU Can Lead Extraordinary Growth, was named a Top Innovation and Design Thinking Book by Business Week. Tim Ogilvie has been hailed as a visionary for his pioneering contributions to service innovation, business model innovation, and customer experience design.
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Audiobook requires regular book
- By GoingGoingGone... on 07-01-18
By: Jeanne Liedtka, and others
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Modern Monopolies
- What It Takes to Dominate the 21st Century Economy
- By: Nicholas L. Johnson, Alex Moazed
- Narrated by: Jonathan Yen
- Length: 10 hrs and 7 mins
- Unabridged
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What do Google, Snapchat, Tinder, Amazon, and Uber have in common, besides soaring market share? They're platforms - a new business model that has quietly become the only game in town. A platform, by definition, creates value by facilitating an exchange between two or more interdependent groups. So, rather than making things, they simply connect people. The advent of mobile computing and its ubiquitous connectivity have forever altered how we interact with each other. Yet, few people truly grasp the radical structural shifts of the last 10 years.
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Mostly notes for myself or highlights of the book
- By Gary H. on 11-16-17
By: Nicholas L. Johnson, and others
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The Fourth Industrial Revolution
- By: Klaus Schwab
- Narrated by: Nicholas Guy Smith
- Length: 5 hrs and 32 mins
- Unabridged
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World-renowned economist Klaus Schwab, founder and executive chairman of the World Economic Forum, explains that we have an opportunity to shape the fourth industrial revolution, which will fundamentally alter how we live and work.
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Friendly reminding : On August 15th, 1971, the dec
- By steve white on 03-24-21
By: Klaus Schwab
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hoped for more on why bias and how to avoid it
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Hyperspace
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Are there other dimensions beyond our own? Is time travel possible? Can we change the past? Are there gateways to parallel universes? All of us have pondered such questions, but there was a time when scientists dismissed these notions as outlandish speculations. Not any more. Today, they are the focus of the most intense scientific activity in recent memory. In Hyperspace, Michio Kaku offers the first book-length tour of the most exciting (and perhaps most bizarre) work in modern physics.
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is there nothing really interesting to talk about in higher-dimensional physics?
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The Angel and the Assassin
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Until recently, microglia were thought to be merely the brain’s housekeepers, helpfully removing damaged cells. But a recent groundbreaking discovery revealed them to be capable of terrifying Jekyll and Hyde behavior. When triggered - and anything that stirs up the immune system in the body can activate microglia - they can morph into destroyers, impacting a wide range of issues from memory problems and anxiety to depression and Alzheimer’s. Under the right circumstances, however, microglia can be coaxed back into being angelic healers.
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A Magnus Opus for Microglia
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Mumbler
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Some Assembly Required
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Over billions of years, ancient fish evolved to walk on land, reptiles transformed into birds that fly, and apelike primates evolved into humans that walk on two legs, talk, and write. For more than a century, paleontologists have traveled the globe to find fossils that show how such changes have happened.
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Interesting but thin. ANNOYING narration
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Everyone knows how hard it can be to maintain a healthy diet. But what if some of the decisions we make about what to eat are beyond our control? Is it possible that food is addictive, like drugs or alcohol? And to what extent does the food industry know, or care, about these vulnerabilities? In Hooked, Pulitzer Prize-winning investigative reporter Michael Moss sets out to answer these questions - and to find the true peril in our food.
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Biased
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How do we talk about bias? How do we address racial disparities and inequities? What role do our institutions play in creating, maintaining, and magnifying those inequities? What role do we play? With a perspective that is at once scientific, investigative, and informed by personal experience, Dr. Jennifer Eberhardt offers us the language and courage we need to face one of the biggest and most troubling issues of our time. She exposes racial bias at all levels of society - in our neighborhoods, schools, workplaces, and criminal justice system.
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hoped for more on why bias and how to avoid it
- By Pavan Ongole on 04-04-19
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Hyperspace
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Are there other dimensions beyond our own? Is time travel possible? Can we change the past? Are there gateways to parallel universes? All of us have pondered such questions, but there was a time when scientists dismissed these notions as outlandish speculations. Not any more. Today, they are the focus of the most intense scientific activity in recent memory. In Hyperspace, Michio Kaku offers the first book-length tour of the most exciting (and perhaps most bizarre) work in modern physics.
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is there nothing really interesting to talk about in higher-dimensional physics?
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The Angel and the Assassin
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A Mind for Numbers
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In A Mind for Numbers, Dr. Oakley lets us in on the secrets to learning effectively - secrets that even dedicated and successful students wish they’d known earlier. Contrary to popular belief, math requires creative, as well as analytical, thinking. Most people think that there’s only one way to do a problem, when in actuality, there are often a number of different solutions - you just need the creativity to see them.
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Not quite what you expect
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The Deep History of Ourselves
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Renowned neuroscientist Joseph LeDoux digs into the natural history of life on earth to provide a new perspective on the similarities between us and our ancestors in deep time. This pause-resisting survey of the whole of terrestrial evolution sheds new light on how nervous systems evolved in animals, how the brain developed, and what it means to be human. In The Deep History of Ourselves, LeDoux argues that the key to understanding human behavior lies in viewing evolution through the prism of the first living organisms.
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Oversold
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Sold Out
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Today, your favorite products are missing from store shelves, caught in supply chain limbo somewhere in the Pacific Ocean. But what does this supply chain disruption look like six months, or even three years, from now? While we hope that post-pandemic recovery will absolve these issues, the reality is that digital currency, meme stonks, and social media can’t solve the age-old problem of producing and moving physical goods across oceans and continents. Jim Rickards argues that consumer frustration is only the tip of a large, menacing iceberg that threatens global economic collapse.
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Hard to like this. Book is really Dull.
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Spam Nation
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In Spam Nation, investigative journalist and cybersecurity expert Brian Krebs unmasks the criminal masterminds driving some of the biggest spam and hacker operations targeting Americans and their bank accounts. Tracing the rise, fall, and alarming resurrection of the digital mafia behind the two largest spam pharmacies - and countless viruses, phishing, and spyware attacks - he delivers the first definitive narrative of the global spam problem and its threat to consumers everywhere.
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Risky topic, but Br. Krebs hits it out of the park
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Conversations
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Steve Reich is a living legend in the world of contemporary classical music. As a leader of the minimalist movement in the 1960s, his works have become central to the musical landscape worldwide, influencing generations of younger musicians, choreographers and visual artists. He has explored non-Western music and American vernacular music from jazz to rock, as well as groundbreaking music and video pieces. He toured the world with his own ensemble and his compositions are performed internationally by major orchestras and ensembles.
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Stunningly thoughtful!
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By: Steve Reich
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Unreliable Narrator
- Me, Myself, and Impostor Syndrome
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Aparna Nancherla is a superstar comedian on the rise—a darling of Netflix and Comedy Central’s comedy special lineups, a headliner at comedy shows and music festivals, a frequenter of late night television and the subject of numerous profiles. She’s also a successful actor who has written a barrage of thoughtful essays published by the likes of the New York Times. If you ask her, though, she’s a total fraud. She’d hate to admit it, but no one does impostor syndrome quite like Aparna Nancherla.
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So much valuable insight, please read
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Power and Prediction
- The Disruptive Economics of Artificial Intelligence
- By: Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans, Avi Goldfarb
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In their bestselling first book, Prediction Machines, eminent economists Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans, and Avi Goldfarb explained the simple yet game-changing economics of AI. Now, in Power and Prediction, they go deeper, examining the most basic unit of analysis: the decision. The authors explain that the two key decision-making ingredients are prediction and judgment, and we perform both together in our minds, often without realizing it.
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Inspire system thinking with informative examples
- By Lucy A. Pithecus on 11-16-22
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The Origins of Political Order: From Prehuman Times to the French Revolution
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Virtually all human societies were once organized tribally, yet over time most developed new political institutions which included a central state that could keep the peace and uniform laws that applied to all citizens. Some went on to create governments that were accountable to their constituents. We take these institutions for granted, but they are absent or are unable to perform in many of today’s developing countries—with often disastrous consequences for the rest of the world.
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Few forests, but lots of trees
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Capital in the Twenty-First Century
- By: Thomas Piketty, Arthur Goldhammer - translator
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What are the grand dynamics that drive the accumulation and distribution of capital? Questions about the long-term evolution of inequality, the concentration of wealth, and the prospects for economic growth lie at the heart of political economy. But satisfactory answers have been hard to find for lack of adequate data and clear guiding theories.
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The Financial Times' Critique Doesn't Detract
- By Madeleine on 05-22-14
By: Thomas Piketty, and others
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The Singularity Is Near
- When Humans Transcend Biology
- By: Ray Kurzweil
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For over three decades, Ray Kurzweil has been one of the most respected and provocative advocates of the role of technology in our future. In his classic The Age of Spiritual Machines, he argued that computers would soon rival the full range of human intelligence at its best. Now he examines the next step in this inexorable evolutionary process: The union of human and machine, in which the knowledge and skills embedded in our brains will be combined with the vastly greater capacity, speed, and knowledge-sharing ability of our creations.
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RUINED audio.
- By Fred on 06-25-21
By: Ray Kurzweil
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Power Failure
- The Rise and Fall of an American Icon
- By: William D. Cohan
- Narrated by: Eric Jason Martin
- Length: 28 hrs and 17 mins
- Unabridged
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Performance
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No company embodied American ingenuity, innovation, and industrial power more spectacularly and more consistently than the General Electric Company. GE once developed and manufactured many of the inventions we take for granted today, nearly everything from the lightbulb to the jet engine. GE also built a cult of financial and leadership success envied across the globe and became the world’s most valuable and most admired company. But even at the height of its prestige and influence, cracks were forming in its formidable foundation.
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Much better than other GE books
- By Brannon Crawford on 12-26-22
By: William D. Cohan
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What If? 2
- Additional Serious Scientific Answers to Absurd Hypothetical Questions
- By: Randall Munroe
- Narrated by: Wil Wheaton
- Length: 6 hrs and 35 mins
- Unabridged
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The millions of people around the world who loved What If? still have questions, and those questions are getting stranger. Thank goodness xkcd creator Randall Munroe is here to help. Planning to ride a fire pole from the Moon back to Earth? The hardest part is sticking the landing. Hoping to cool the atmosphere by opening everyone’s freezer door at the same time? Maybe it’s time for a brief introduction to thermodynamics. Want to know what would happen if you rode a helicopter blade, made a lava lamp out of lava, or jumped on an erupting geyser? Okay, if you insist.
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Interesting book, horrible narrator
- By Peter on 02-18-24
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What listeners say about Prediction Machines
Average customer ratingsReviews - Please select the tabs below to change the source of reviews.
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- Edward Lewis
- 08-19-20
Excellent SWOT analysis of AI
This well narrated book offers a great point and counterpoint of artificial intelligence from a technological and social science perspective that informs and provokes important and relevant thought.
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- Dan Collins
- 05-24-20
AI, Economics and You
As a technology professional I recommend this book to both the technical savvy and the curious. Prediction machines are too ubiquitous for us not to be more familiar with their peril and their promise.
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- J. Cabrera
- 07-21-24
Unlock the Future
C-suite executives and strategy teams, it's time to transform your decision-making process. Dive into "Prediction Machines" by Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans, and Avi Goldfarb, a groundbreaking exploration of AI's impact on business strategy. This book demystifies AI, showing how prediction technology can streamline operations, optimize resource allocation, and enhance strategic planning.
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- Kristopher
- 06-19-19
Intriguing yet grounded exploration of the present and near-future economic impact of machine-learning.
The authors provide a balanced account of the trade offs inherent in the growth and adoption of machine learning. The book serves as an excellent resource for those wishing to better orient their thinking regarding the immediate economic opportunities and challenges present in the utilization of this promising technology.
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- Salem
- 01-12-24
easy-to-digest “ML for business practitioners”
The book "Prediction Machines" by Ajay Agrawal , Joshua Gans, and Avi Goldfarb strikes an ideal balance between technical and non-technical aspects, making it accessible to both AI enthusiasts and business practitioners. The authors effectively demystify AI technology, presenting it in an easily digestible manner with a business-oriented perspective. Their goal is to serve as a bridge between AI and business, and they succeed admirably in achieving this objective.
The book delves into the impact of prediction machines on the economy and guides readers through five essential steps: prediction, decision-making, tools, strategy, and society. One highlight is the AI canvas, a valuable tool that aids business owners in understanding how AI can address their specific challenges. Reminiscent of the "Business Model Canvas," this framework adds an AI-specific dimension.
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- Amazon Customer
- 01-15-24
Helpful
This book is a great stepping stone to start learning about the AI and its impact.
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- RobW
- 03-25-19
super timely and relevant for new tech today
introduced me to how AI works, how its trained, and economic factors and tradeoffs to consider. I learned a lot from this book.
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- K. Verstegen
- 05-12-19
The economist view is sharp as usual.
This was a quick listen and provided a clear, high level point of view
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- Tim Crespin USA
- 08-15-20
Timely and broadly relevant
Laid out so anyone can understand, the economic view of AI will prove to be one of the most general and future-proof perspectives on its effects on our society.
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- David K. van Hoose
- 04-26-19
Alexa is more than a music player
Machines like Alexa, Apps like Fitbit, Smart Phones etc our world is changing because of the data being collected, allowing learning better predictions and performance.
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