Crude Forecasts: Predictions, Pundits, and Profits in the Commodity Casino
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Crude Forecasts: Predictions, Pundits, and Profits in the Commodity Casino
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Narrated by:
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Glen Pavlovich
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By:
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Peter Sainsbury
About this listen
This book will help you make better investment decisions in commodity markets. Find out which pundits and forecasters really know what they are talking about and track them. Understand the factors you can use to hold the 'experts' to account.
"A highly practical book that every investor and analyst needs to listened to several times....shows why investors need to do their own research, and not just follow the pundits" (Samir Madani, #OOTT and Tanker Trackers)
"With technology, geopolitics, and economics colliding to make commodities a challenging place to invest, Peter's timely book on the folly of commodity forecasting serves as a cautionary tale and a guide to preventing us from repeating the mistakes of the past." (Chris Berry, House Mountain Partners)
"Essential listening for investors and executives" (Paul Hodges, International eChem)
In Crude Forecasts: Predictions, Pundits, and Profits in the Commodity Casino, Peter Sainsbury, economist, commodity investor and blogger at Materials Risk, shows how you can take back control.
In this book you'll learn:
- Why incentives tell you everything about financial market pundits
- What warning signs to watch out for
- Forecasting principles and practice
- How to be a more sophisticated consumer of financial media
- What you can do to avoid your business, industry, or country becoming a commodity "white elephant"
- What you can do to make better investments in commodities and other financial assets.
Peter Sainsbury is also the author of Commodities: 50 Things You Really Need to Know and The Winning Formula: Betting on F1.
©2017 Peter Sainsbury (P)2017 Peter SainsburyListeners also enjoyed...
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The Money Formula
- Dodgy Finance, Pseudo Science, and How Mathematicians Took Over the Markets
- By: Paul Wilmott, David Orrell
- Narrated by: Gavin Osborn
- Length: 8 hrs and 45 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall4.5 out of 5 stars 31
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Performance5 out of 5 stars 30
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Story4.5 out of 5 stars 30
The Money Formula takes you inside the engine room of the global economy to explore the little-understood world of quantitative finance, and show how the future of our economy rests on the backs of this all-but-impenetrable industry. Written not from a post-crisis perspective - but from a preventative point of view - this book traces the development of financial derivatives from bonds to credit default swaps, and shows how mathematical formulas went beyond pricing to expand their use to the point where they dwarfed the real economy.
By: Paul Wilmott, and others
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The Great Reversal
- How America Gave Up on Free Markets
- By: Thomas Philippon
- Narrated by: Walter Dixon
- Length: 10 hrs and 1 min
- Unabridged
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Overall4.5 out of 5 stars 139
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Performance4.5 out of 5 stars 107
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Story4.5 out of 5 stars 107
Why are cellphone plans so much more expensive in the United States than in Europe? It seems a simple question. But the search for an answer took Thomas Philippon on an unexpected journey through some of the most complex and hotly debated issues in modern economics. Ultimately, he reached a surprising conclusion: American markets, once a model for the world, are giving up on healthy competition.
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4 out of 5 stars
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Eye-opening, but better as a book - a must-READ
- By Ash on 11-29-19
By: Thomas Philippon
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The Most Important Thing
- Uncommon Sense for The Thoughtful Investor
- By: Howard Marks
- Narrated by: John FitzGibbon
- Length: 7 hrs and 9 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall4.5 out of 5 stars 2,303
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Performance4.5 out of 5 stars 1,872
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Story4.5 out of 5 stars 1,851
Howard Marks, the chairman and cofounder of Oaktree Capital Management, is renowned for his insightful assessments of market opportunity and risk. After four decades spent ascending to the top of the investment management profession, he is today sought out by the world's leading value investors, and his client memos brim with insightful commentary and a time-tested, fundamental philosophy. The Most Important Thing explains the keys to successful investment and the pitfalls that can destroy capital or ruin a career.
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5 out of 5 stars
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Five Star Book, two Star Audiobook
- By Johnny on 06-08-15
By: Howard Marks
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The Myth of the Rational Market
- A History of Risk, Reward, and Delusion on Wall Street
- By: Justin Fox
- Narrated by: Alan Sklar
- Length: 13 hrs and 38 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall4 out of 5 stars 192
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Performance4.5 out of 5 stars 117
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Story4.5 out of 5 stars 121
Chronicling the rise and fall of the efficient market theory and the century-long making of the modern financial industry, Justin Fox’s The Myth of the Rational Market is as much an intellectual whodunit as a cultural history of the perils and possibilities of risk. The book brings to life the people and ideas that forged modern finance and investing, from the formative days of Wall Street through the Great Depression and into the financial calamity of today.
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4 out of 5 stars
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Probably most interesting to economists
- By D. Martin on 06-29-12
By: Justin Fox
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The Death of Money
- The Coming Collapse of the International Monetary System
- By: James Rickards
- Narrated by: Sean Pratt
- Length: 13 hrs and 13 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall4.5 out of 5 stars 1,091
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Performance4.5 out of 5 stars 933
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Story4.5 out of 5 stars 930
The international monetary system has collapsed three times in the past hundred years, in 1914, 1939, and 1971. Each collapse was followed by a period of tumult: War, civil unrest, or significant damage to the stability of the global economy. Now James Rickards, the acclaimed author of Currency Wars, shows why another collapse is rapidly approaching - and why this time, nothing less than the institution of money itself is at risk.
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4 out of 5 stars
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A good review of the global financial system
- By Jean on 04-22-14
By: James Rickards
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Currency Wars
- The Making of the Next Global Crises
- By: James Rickards
- Narrated by: Walter Dixon
- Length: 9 hrs and 52 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall4.5 out of 5 stars 1,772
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Performance4.5 out of 5 stars 1,504
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Story4.5 out of 5 stars 1,510
In 1971, President Nixon imposed national price controls and took the United States off the gold standard, an extreme measure intended to end an ongoing currency war that had destroyed faith in the U.S. dollar. Today we are engaged in a new currency war, and this time the consequences will be far worse than those that confronted Nixon. Currency wars are one of the most destructive and feared outcomes in international economics.
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2 out of 5 stars
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don't be misled
- By peter on 04-01-12
By: James Rickards
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The End of Normal
- The Great Crisis and the Future of Growth
- By: James K. Galbraith
- Narrated by: L. J. Ganser
- Length: 9 hrs and 27 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall4.5 out of 5 stars 40
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Performance4.5 out of 5 stars 34
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Story4.5 out of 5 stars 34
The years since the Great Crisis of 2008 have seen slow growth, high unemployment, falling home values, chronic deficits, a deepening disaster in Europe - and a stale argument between two false solutions, “austerity” on one side and “stimulus” on the other. Both sides and practically all analyses of the crisis so far take for granted that the economic growth from the early 1950s until 2000 - interrupted only by the troubled 1970s - represented a normal performance.
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The Art of Value Investing
- Essential Strategies for Market-Beating Returns
- By: John Heins, Whitney Tilson
- Narrated by: Walter Dixon
- Length: 9 hrs and 5 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall4 out of 5 stars 76
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Performance4 out of 5 stars 61
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Story4 out of 5 stars 61
Whether you're a complete beginner in need of an A-to-Z value investing primer, an experienced investor looking to expand and fine-tune your repertoire of value investing skills, or an individual or institutional investor looking to identify the best money managers, this audiobook is for you. Authors John Heins and Whitney Tilson have brought together the collective wisdom of today's most successful value investors and distilled it into a series of actionable lessons you can put into practice right away.
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2 out of 5 stars
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Collection of quotations with no narrative
- By busyfamilymom on 02-05-15
By: John Heins, and others
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The End of Alchemy
- Money, Banking, and the Future of the Global Economy
- By: Mervyn King
- Narrated by: Greg Wagland
- Length: 14 hrs and 3 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall4.5 out of 5 stars 416
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Performance4.5 out of 5 stars 345
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Story4.5 out of 5 stars 347
Something is wrong with our banking system. We all sense that, but Mervyn King knows it firsthand; his 10 years at the helm of the Bank of England, including at the height of the financial crisis, revealed profound truths about the mechanisms of our capitalist society. In The End of Alchemy, he offers us an essential work about the history and future of money and banking, the keys to modern finance.
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5 out of 5 stars
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Two books in one, both very fine
- By Philo on 07-13-16
By: Mervyn King
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Markets Never Forget (But People Do)
- How Your Memory Is Costing You Money and Why This Time Isn't Different
- By: Ken Fisher, Lara Hoffmans
- Narrated by: Mel Foster
- Length: 7 hrs and 45 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall4.5 out of 5 stars 68
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Performance4.5 out of 5 stars 54
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Story4.5 out of 5 stars 55
Best-selling author Ken Fisher here explains how investor's memories play (often costly) tricks on them. Fisher takes aim at some major market memory mishaps, like the idea that stocks have become inherently more volatile or that wildly above - or below - average returns are abnormal. He shows how, early in every recovery, investors don’t believe in it - often at a huge cost. And he shows how, in investing, ideology is deadly. Most important, he explains how you can use history as a powerful investing tool.
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5 out of 5 stars
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Important Things to Remember
- By John on 01-08-12
By: Ken Fisher, and others
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The Entrepreneurial State
- Debunking Public vs. Private Sector Myths
- By: Mariana Mazzucato
- Narrated by: Callie Beaulieu
- Length: 9 hrs and 33 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall4.5 out of 5 stars 98
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Performance4.5 out of 5 stars 78
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Story4.5 out of 5 stars 77
In this sharp and controversial international best seller, an award-winning economist debunks the pervasive myth that the government is sluggish and inept, and at odds with a dynamic private sector. She reveals in detailed case studies that the opposite is true: The state is, and has been, our boldest and most valuable innovator. Denying this history is leading us down the wrong path. A select few get credit for what is an intensely collective effort, and the US government has started disinvesting from innovation.
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4 out of 5 stars
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Myth Breaker-a new model for innovation
- By Carl A. Gallozzi on 12-12-20
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Economics for the Common Good
- By: Jean Tirole, Steven Rendell - translator
- Narrated by: Jonathan Davis
- Length: 18 hrs and 54 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall4.5 out of 5 stars 56
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Performance4.5 out of 5 stars 44
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Story4.5 out of 5 stars 42
When Jean Tirole won the 2014 Nobel Prize in Economics, he suddenly found himself being stopped in the street by complete strangers and asked to comment on issues of the day, no matter how distant from his own areas of research. His transformation from academic economist to public intellectual prompted him to reflect further on the role economists and their discipline play in society. The result is Economics for the Common Good, a passionate manifesto for a world in which economics, far from being a "dismal science," is a positive force for the common good.
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4 out of 5 stars
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A Great Overview of the Challenges of Modern Econ
- By Zach Sullivan on 08-06-18
By: Jean Tirole, and others
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Warren Buffett's Ground Rules
- Words of Wisdom from the Partnership Letters of the World's Greatest Investor
- By: Jeremy C. Miller
- Narrated by: Tom Perkins
- Length: 10 hrs and 11 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall4.5 out of 5 stars 353
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Performance4.5 out of 5 stars 287
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Story4.5 out of 5 stars 288
Compiled for the first time, and with Buffett's permission, these letters spotlight his contrarian diversification strategy, his almost religious celebration of compounding interest, his preference for conservative rather than conventional decision making, and his goal and tactics for bettering market results by at least 10 percent annually. Demonstrating Buffett's intellectual rigor, they provide a framework to the craft of investing that had not existed before.
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5 out of 5 stars
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Absolutely fantastic
- By Matthew on 08-18-16
By: Jeremy C. Miller
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The Index Revolution
- Why Investors Should Join It Now
- By: Charles D. Ellis
- Narrated by: LJ Ganser
- Length: 4 hrs and 18 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall4.5 out of 5 stars 27
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Performance5 out of 5 stars 21
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Story4.5 out of 5 stars 21
The Index Revolution argues that active investing is a loser's game, and that a passive approach is more profitable in today's market. By adjusting your portfolio asset weights to match a performance index, you consistently earn higher rates of returns and come out on top in the long run. This book explains why, and describes how individual investors can take advantage of indexing to make their portfolio stronger and more profitable.
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5 out of 5 stars
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A better way to invest
- By BSuave on 06-17-24
By: Charles D. Ellis
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The Manual of Ideas
- The Proven Framework for Finding the Best Value Investments
- By: John Mihaljevic
- Narrated by: Mark Moseley
- Length: 11 hrs and 8 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall4.5 out of 5 stars 273
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Performance4.5 out of 5 stars 208
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Story4.5 out of 5 stars 211
Considered an indispensable source of cutting-edge research and ideas among the world's top investment firms and money managers, the journal The Manual of Ideas boasts a subscriber list that reads like a Who's Who of high finance. Written by that publication's managing editor and inspired by its mission to serve as an "idea funnel" for the world's top money managers, this book introduces you to a proven, proprietary framework for finding, researching, analyzing, and implementing the best value investing opportunities.
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5 out of 5 stars
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Valuable Information
- By Neils on 05-06-15
By: John Mihaljevic
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Invest Like a Guru
- How to Generate Higher Returns at Reduced Risk with Value Investing
- By: Charlie Tian
- Narrated by: Jonathan Yen
- Length: 7 hrs and 25 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall4.5 out of 5 stars 130
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Performance4.5 out of 5 stars 103
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Story4.5 out of 5 stars 101
Adopt the investment strategy that built Warren Buffett's fortune. Invest Like a Guru provides an invaluable resource for high-quality-focused value investing, with expert insight and practical tools for implementation. Written by the man behind GuruFocus.com, this book expands on the site's value strategies and research tools to provide a primer for those exploring pathways to higher returns at lower risk.
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2 out of 5 stars
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A gurufocus ($400/year) commercial?
- By Amazon Customer M on 08-05-17
By: Charlie Tian
What listeners say about Crude Forecasts: Predictions, Pundits, and Profits in the Commodity Casino
Average customer ratingsReviews - Please select the tabs below to change the source of reviews.
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Overall5 out of 5 stars
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Performance5 out of 5 stars
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Story5 out of 5 stars
- RSF
- 03-04-20
Informative.
Many good tips to help understand commodities. I will listen again. enjoyed the history and understanding the types of commodities.
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