
Forecast
What Physics, Meteorology, and the Natural Sciences Can Teach Us About Economics
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Narrado por:
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Fleet Cooper
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De:
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Mark Buchanan
Acerca de esta escucha
Picture an early scene from The Wizard of Oz: Dorothy hurries home as a tornado gathers in what was once a clear Kansas sky.
Hurriedly, she seeks shelter in the storm cellar under the house, but, finding it locked, takes cover in her bedroom. We all know how that works out for her.Many investors these days are a bit like Dorothy, putting their faith in something as solid and trustworthy as a house (or, say, real estate). But market disruptions - storms - seem to arrive without warning, leaving us little time to react.
Why are we so often blindsided by these things, left outdoors with nothing but our little dogs? More to the point: how did Kansas go from blue skies to tornadoes in such a short time? In this deeply researched and piercingly intelligent book, physicist Mark Buchanan shows how a simple feedback loop can lead to major consequences, the kind predictable by mathematical models but hard for most people to anticipate. From his unique perspective, Buchanan argues that our basic assumptions about economic markets - that they are for the most part stable, with occasional interruptions - are simply wrong.
Markets really act more like the weather: a brief heat wave can become a massive storm in a matter of a few days, or even hours. The Physics of Finance reimagines the basics of how economics, with consequences that affect everyone.
Download the accompanying reference guide.©2013 Mark Buchanan (P)2013 Audible, Inc.Los oyentes también disfrutaron...
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- De: Gernot Wagner, Martin L. Weitzman
- Narrado por: Grover Gardner
- Duración: 4 h y 54 m
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Wagner and Martin Weitzman explore in lively, clear terms the likely repercussions of a hotter planet, drawing on and expanding from work previously unavailable to general audiences. They show that the longer we wait to act, the more likely an extreme event will happen. A city might go underwater.
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Nuance, balance, risk management.
- De John Christens en 11-23-23
De: Gernot Wagner, y otros
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Currency Wars
- The Making of the Next Global Crises
- De: James Rickards
- Narrado por: Walter Dixon
- Duración: 9 h y 52 m
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In 1971, President Nixon imposed national price controls and took the United States off the gold standard, an extreme measure intended to end an ongoing currency war that had destroyed faith in the U.S. dollar. Today we are engaged in a new currency war, and this time the consequences will be far worse than those that confronted Nixon. Currency wars are one of the most destructive and feared outcomes in international economics.
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don't be misled
- De peter en 04-01-12
De: James Rickards
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Narrative Economics
- How Stories Go Viral and Drive Major Economic Events
- De: Robert J. Shiller
- Narrado por: Susan Osman, Robert J. Shiller - introduction
- Duración: 11 h y 7 m
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Spread through the public in the form of popular stories, ideas can go viral and move markets - whether it's the belief that tech stocks can only go up or that housing prices never fall. Whether true or false, stories like these - transmitted by word of mouth, by the news media, and increasingly by social media - drive the economy by driving our decisions about how and where to invest, how much to spend and save, and more. But despite the obvious importance of such stories, most economists have paid little attention to them. Narrative Economics sets out to change that.
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Such boring narration (returned)
- De William J Brown en 10-08-19
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The Art of Value Investing
- Essential Strategies for Market-Beating Returns
- De: John Heins, Whitney Tilson
- Narrado por: Walter Dixon
- Duración: 9 h y 5 m
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Whether you're a complete beginner in need of an A-to-Z value investing primer, an experienced investor looking to expand and fine-tune your repertoire of value investing skills, or an individual or institutional investor looking to identify the best money managers, this audiobook is for you. Authors John Heins and Whitney Tilson have brought together the collective wisdom of today's most successful value investors and distilled it into a series of actionable lessons you can put into practice right away.
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Collection of quotations with no narrative
- De busyfamilymom en 02-05-15
De: John Heins, y otros
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Markets Never Forget (But People Do)
- How Your Memory Is Costing You Money and Why This Time Isn't Different
- De: Ken Fisher, Lara Hoffmans
- Narrado por: Mel Foster
- Duración: 7 h y 45 m
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Best-selling author Ken Fisher here explains how investor's memories play (often costly) tricks on them. Fisher takes aim at some major market memory mishaps, like the idea that stocks have become inherently more volatile or that wildly above - or below - average returns are abnormal. He shows how, early in every recovery, investors don’t believe in it - often at a huge cost. And he shows how, in investing, ideology is deadly. Most important, he explains how you can use history as a powerful investing tool.
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Important Things to Remember
- De John en 01-08-12
De: Ken Fisher, y otros
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The End of Alchemy
- Money, Banking, and the Future of the Global Economy
- De: Mervyn King
- Narrado por: Greg Wagland
- Duración: 14 h y 3 m
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Something is wrong with our banking system. We all sense that, but Mervyn King knows it firsthand; his 10 years at the helm of the Bank of England, including at the height of the financial crisis, revealed profound truths about the mechanisms of our capitalist society. In The End of Alchemy, he offers us an essential work about the history and future of money and banking, the keys to modern finance.
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Two books in one, both very fine
- De Philo en 07-13-16
De: Mervyn King
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The End of Normal
- The Great Crisis and the Future of Growth
- De: James K. Galbraith
- Narrado por: L. J. Ganser
- Duración: 9 h y 27 m
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The years since the Great Crisis of 2008 have seen slow growth, high unemployment, falling home values, chronic deficits, a deepening disaster in Europe - and a stale argument between two false solutions, “austerity” on one side and “stimulus” on the other. Both sides and practically all analyses of the crisis so far take for granted that the economic growth from the early 1950s until 2000 - interrupted only by the troubled 1970s - represented a normal performance.
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Expert Political Judgment
- How Good is it? How can We Know?
- De: Philip E. Tetlock
- Narrado por: Anthony Haden Salerno
- Duración: 9 h y 48 m
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The intelligence failures surrounding the invasion of Iraq dramatically illustrate the necessity of developing standards for evaluating expert opinion. This audiobook fills that need. Here, Philip E. Tetlock explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events, and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts. Tetlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future.
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Five-star book, one-star reading
- De Christian Tarsney en 01-23-19
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The Death of Money
- The Coming Collapse of the International Monetary System
- De: James Rickards
- Narrado por: Sean Pratt
- Duración: 13 h y 13 m
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The international monetary system has collapsed three times in the past hundred years, in 1914, 1939, and 1971. Each collapse was followed by a period of tumult: War, civil unrest, or significant damage to the stability of the global economy. Now James Rickards, the acclaimed author of Currency Wars, shows why another collapse is rapidly approaching - and why this time, nothing less than the institution of money itself is at risk.
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A good review of the global financial system
- De Jean en 04-22-14
De: James Rickards
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The Great Mental Models
- General Thinking Concepts
- De: Shane Parrish
- Narrado por: Shane Parrish
- Duración: 3 h y 23 m
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The Great Mental Models: General Thinking Concepts is the first book in The Great Mental Models series designed to upgrade your thinking with the best, most useful and powerful tools so you always have the right one on hand. This volume details nine of the most versatile all-purpose mental models you can use right away to improve your decision making, your productivity, and how clearly you see the world.
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A dissapointing debut
- De Peter en 04-14-19
De: Shane Parrish
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Perfect Bet
- How Science and Math Are Taking the Luck out of Gambling
- De: Adam Kucharski
- Narrado por: Jonathan Yen
- Duración: 8 h y 34 m
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From the simple to the intricate and the audacious to the absurd, Adam Kucharski reveals the long and tangled history between betting and science and explains why gambling continues to generate insights into luck and decision making today. Covering exploits and ideas from across the globe, he meets the teams behind hedge funds that capitalize on inaccurate sports betting odds and explains how PhD-level pundits are using methods originally developed for the US nuclear program to predict sports results.
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Nontechnical, wandering far beyond "gaming"
- De Philo en 04-02-16
De: Adam Kucharski
Lo que los oyentes dicen sobre Forecast
Calificaciones medias de los clientesReseñas - Selecciona las pestañas a continuación para cambiar el origen de las reseñas.
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- J. Sterz
- 04-18-17
Good Contrarian Book
The book started off really great, but then gets very repetitive and you listen to the exact same stories over and over again.
It is also lacking details on feedback models, which are praised through the book but only scratching the surface.
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