
Think Twice
Harnessing the Power of Counterintuition
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Narrado por:
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Walter Dixon
Acerca de esta escucha
How to stop yourself before you make another costly decision.... No one intentionally makes bad decisions. Yet we make them all the time. In fact, some of the worst disasters in recent history - the collapse of major investment banks, the global financial meltdown - were the result of seemingly reasonable decisions made by a lot of smart people. How does this happen?
Michael J. Mauboussin argues that the correct process for deciding well - especially when the stakes are high - conflicts with how our minds naturally work.
When faced with complex situations, our brains revert to simplified patterns that obscure better approaches to the problem. Even when we think we’re applying logic and reason, we’re subconsciously succumbing to social or situational influences. Fortunately, we can override our mind’s default systems - that is, we can counter our intuition - by learning to “think twice”.
In this compelling audiobook, Mauboussin outlines a disciplined approach to decision-making that will significantly reduce costly mistakes. Through vivid stories from business, sports, science, and everyday life, Mauboussin categorizes common mental mistakes and offers actionable advice for avoiding them, including:
- The Inside/Outside View: Take the experiences of others into account
- Tunnel Vision: Force yourself to consider alternatives that make you uncomfortable
- The Whole Is Smarter Than Its Parts: Don’t oversimplify complex problems
- Situational Power: Be highly aware of the influence others have on you
- The Expert Squeeze: Know when to trust so-called experts, and when not to
Backed by powerful research and shrewd analysis, this audio book gives you a mental toolkit for spotting dangerous decision traps - and making smarter choices in your professional and personal life.
©2009 Michael J. Mauboussin (P)2010 Gildan Media CorpLos oyentes también disfrutaron...
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General
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When confronted with an ethical dilemma, most of us like to think we would stand up for our principles. But we are not as ethical as we think we are. In Blind Spots, leading business ethicists Max Bazerman and Ann Tenbrunsel examine the ways we overestimate our ability to do what is right and how we act unethically without meaning to.
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Great book! Poor narration
- De Susie en 11-20-17
De: Max H. Bazerman, y otros
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Perfect Bet
- How Science and Math Are Taking the Luck out of Gambling
- De: Adam Kucharski
- Narrado por: Jonathan Yen
- Duración: 8 h y 34 m
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From the simple to the intricate and the audacious to the absurd, Adam Kucharski reveals the long and tangled history between betting and science and explains why gambling continues to generate insights into luck and decision making today. Covering exploits and ideas from across the globe, he meets the teams behind hedge funds that capitalize on inaccurate sports betting odds and explains how PhD-level pundits are using methods originally developed for the US nuclear program to predict sports results.
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Nontechnical, wandering far beyond "gaming"
- De Philo en 04-02-16
De: Adam Kucharski
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Success and Luck
- Good Fortune and the Myth of Meritocracy
- De: Robert H. Frank
- Narrado por: Robert H. Frank
- Duración: 5 h y 19 m
- Versión completa
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How important is luck in economic success? No question more reliably divides conservatives from liberals. As conservatives correctly observe, people who amass great fortunes are almost always talented and hardworking. But liberals are also correct to note that countless others have those same qualities yet never earn much. In recent years, social scientists have discovered that chance plays a much larger role in important life outcomes than most people imagine.
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Not what is advertised
- De Andre en 04-18-17
De: Robert H. Frank
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Sway
- The Irresistible Pull of Irrational Behavior
- De: Rom Brafman, Ori Brafman
- Narrado por: John Apicella
- Duración: 4 h y 52 m
- Versión completa
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A Harvard Business School student pays over $200 for a $20 bill. Washington, D.C., commuters ignore a free subway concert by a violin prodigy. A veteran airline pilot attempts to take off without control-tower clearance and collides with another plane on the runway. Why do we do the wildly irrational things we sometimes do?
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Disappointing book
- De Martin Proulx en 12-10-08
De: Rom Brafman, y otros
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Superminds
- The Surprising Power of People and Computers Thinking Together
- De: Thomas W. Malone
- Narrado por: Mel Foster
- Duración: 11 h y 11 m
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Many people today are so dazzled by the long-term potential for artificial intelligence that they overlook the much clearer and more immediate potential for a new form of "collective intelligence": the intelligence of groups of people and computers working together. In Superminds, Thomas Malone explains what we need to do to take advantage of this potential. Groundbreaking and utterly fascinating, Superminds will change the way you work - both with others and with computers - for the better.
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"Why did a Kenyan immigrant win the 2008 election"
- De RealTruth en 07-11-18
De: Thomas W. Malone
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Seeing What Others Don't
- The Remarkable Ways We Gain Insights
- De: Gary Klein
- Narrado por: Christopher Lane
- Duración: 9 h
- Versión completa
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Insights—like Darwin's understanding of the way evolution actually works, and Watson and Crick's breakthrough discoveries about the structure of DNA-can change the world. We also need insights into the everyday things that frustrate and confuse us so that we can more effectively solve problems and get things done. Yet we know very little about when, why, or how insights are formed—or what blocks them. In Seeing What Others Don't, renowned cognitive psychologist Gary Klein unravels the mystery.
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Not enough actionable ideas
- De Blair en 02-24-15
De: Gary Klein
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Average is Over
- Powering America Beyond the Age of the Great Stagnation
- De: Tyler Cowen
- Narrado por: Andrew Garman
- Duración: 8 h y 42 m
- Versión completa
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The widening gap between rich and poor means dealing with one big, uncomfortable truth: If you're not at the top, you're at the bottom. The global labor market is changing radically thanks to growth at the high end and the low. About three quarters of the jobs created in the United States since the great recession pay only a bit more than minimum wage. Still, the United States has more millionaires and billionaires than any country ever, and we continue to mint them.
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Disappointing analysis of future
- De JKBart en 12-10-13
De: Tyler Cowen
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The Art of Strategy
- A Game Theorist's Guide to Success in Business and Life
- De: Barry J. Nalebuff, Avinash K. Dixit
- Narrado por: Matthew Dudley
- Duración: 17 h y 2 m
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Game theory means rigorous strategic thinking. It’s the art of anticipating your opponent’s next moves, knowing full well that your rival is trying to do the same thing to you. Though parts of game theory involve simple common sense, much is counterintuitive, and it can only be mastered by developing a new way of seeing the world. Using a diverse array of rich case studies - from pop culture, TV, movies, sports, politics, and history - the authors show how nearly every business and personal interaction has a game-theory component to it.
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Completely misleading title
- De Motorjaw en 01-28-15
De: Barry J. Nalebuff, y otros
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What Works
- Gender Equality by Design
- De: Iris Bohnet
- Narrado por: Laurel Lefkow
- Duración: 9 h y 22 m
- Versión completa
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Gender equality is a moral and a business imperative. But unconscious bias holds us back, and de-biasing people’s minds has proven to be difficult and expensive. Diversity training programs have had limited success, and individual effort alone often invites backlash. Behavioral design offers a new solution. By de-biasing organizations instead of individuals, we can make smart changes that have big impacts.
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Excellent book every women and executive should read
- De N LI en 05-10-21
De: Iris Bohnet
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Originals
- How Non-Conformists Move the World
- De: Adam Grant, Sheryl Sandberg - foreword
- Narrado por: Fred Sanders, Susan Denaker
- Duración: 10 h y 1 m
- Versión completa
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With Give and Take, Adam Grant not only introduced a landmark new paradigm for success but also established himself as one of his generation’s most compelling and provocative thought leaders. In Originals he again addresses the challenge of improving the world, but now from the perspective of becoming original: choosing to champion novel ideas and values that go against the grain, battle conformity, and buck outdated traditions. How can we originate new ideas, policies, and practices without risking it all?
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Interesting, but not science
- De Lloyd Fassett en 03-14-16
De: Adam Grant, y otros
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Charlie Munger
- The Complete Investor
- De: Tren Griffin
- Narrado por: Fred Stella
- Duración: 6 h y 21 m
- Versión completa
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Charlie Munger, Berkshire Hathaway's visionary vice chairman and Warren Buffett's indispensable financial partner, has outperformed market indexes again and again, and he believes any investor can do the same. His notion of "elementary, worldly wisdom" - a set of interdisciplinary mental models involving economics, business, psychology, ethics, and management - allows him to keep his emotions out of his investments and avoid the common pitfalls of bad judgment.
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Good, but... one major annoyance
- De Joseph R. Compton en 02-26-16
De: Tren Griffin
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The Mind of the Market
- Compassionate Apes, Competitive Humans and Other Tales from Evolutionary Economics
- De: Michael Shermer
- Narrado por: Michael Shermer
- Duración: 5 h y 26 m
- Versión resumida
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The Mind of the Market will change the way we think about the economics of everyday life. Drawing on research from neuroeconomics, Michael Shermer explores what brain scans reveal about bargaining, snap purchases, and how trust is established in business. Utilizing experiments in behavioral economics, Shermer shows why people hang on to losing stocks and failing companies, why business negotiations often disintegrate into emotional tit-for-tat disputes, and why money does not make us happy.
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Good ideas overshadowed by obnoxious polemics
- De Philo en 09-15-13
De: Michael Shermer
Las personas que vieron esto también vieron...
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The Success Equation
- Untangling Skill and Luck in Business, Sports, and Investing
- De: Michael J. Mauboussin
- Narrado por: Wes Talbot
- Duración: 8 h y 21 m
- Versión completa
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Historia
In most domains of life, skill and luck seem hopelessly entangled. Different levels of skill and varying degrees of good and bad luck are the realities that shape our lives - yet few of us are adept at accurately distinguishing between the two. Imagine what we could accomplish if we were able to tease out these two threads, examine them, and use the resulting knowledge to make better decisions. In this provocative audiobook, Michael Mauboussin helps to untangle these intricate strands.
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Great clarity for sorting efforts and results
- De Philo en 01-16-13
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More Than You Know
- Finding Financial Wisdom in Unconventional Places
- De: Michael J. Mauboussin
- Narrado por: Sean Runnette
- Duración: 7 h y 27 m
- Versión completa
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Since its first publication, Michael J. Mauboussin's popular guide to wise investing has been translated into eight languages and has been named best business book by BusinessWeek and best economics book by Strategy+Business. Now updated to reflect current research and expanded to include new chapters on investment philosophy, psychology, and strategy and science as they pertain to money management.
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Liked it better when it was written by Taleb
- De Ian en 11-24-18
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Expectations Investing
- Reading Stock Prices for Better Returns
- De: Michael J. Mauboussin, Alfred Rappaport
- Narrado por: Steve Routman
- Duración: 6 h y 59 m
- Versión completa
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Expectations Investing offers a unique and powerful alternative for identifying value-price gaps. Rappaport and Mauboussin provide everything the listener needs to utilize the discounted cash flow model successfully. And they add an important twist: They suggest that rather than forecasting cash flows, investors should begin by estimating the expectations embedded in a company's stock price.
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Great book for a more educated investor. Definitely not the first book you should read from this outstanding author Mausboussin
- De BARRY en 11-25-22
De: Michael J. Mauboussin, y otros
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A Short History of Financial Euphoria
- De: John Kenneth Galbraith
- Narrado por: Liam Gerrard
- Duración: 2 h y 8 m
- Versión completa
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General
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Historia
With incomparable wisdom, skill, and wit, world-renowned economist John Kenneth Galbraith traces the history of the major speculative episodes in our economy over the last three centuries. Exposing the ways in which normally sane people display reckless behavior in pursuit of profit, Galbraith asserts that our "notoriously short" financial memory is what creates the conditions for market collapse. By recognizing these signs and understanding what causes them we can guard against future recessions and have a better hold on our country's (and our own) financial destiny.
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Good
- De SEB24 en 11-12-24
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Damn Right
- Behind the Scenes with Berkshire Hathaway Billionaire Charlie Munger (Revised)
- De: Janet Lowe
- Narrado por: Tom Parks
- Duración: 13 h y 25 m
- Versión completa
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General
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A must-listen biography from the author of the best-selling Warren Buffett Speaks.
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2019 audio of 1999 book
- De William J Brown en 03-10-20
De: Janet Lowe
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Understanding Michael Porter
- The Essential Guide to Competition and Strategy
- De: Joan Magretta
- Narrado por: Erik Synnestvedt
- Duración: 6 h y 4 m
- Versión completa
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General
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Narración:
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Historia
Michael Porter’s groundbreaking ideas on competition and strategy have unfolded over three decades and are spread across a dauntingly long list of publications. Every manager can name individual pieces of his work - competitive advantage, the value chain, five forces - but no one, not even Porter himself, has put the entire puzzle together to reveal it as an integrated whole. This lucid, concise audiobook does just that. This book provides an engaging summary of Porter’s ideas and an invaluable synthesis of this important body of work....
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Horrible and pompous narration
- De Amazon Customer en 08-28-13
De: Joan Magretta
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The Success Equation
- Untangling Skill and Luck in Business, Sports, and Investing
- De: Michael J. Mauboussin
- Narrado por: Wes Talbot
- Duración: 8 h y 21 m
- Versión completa
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General
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Narración:
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Historia
In most domains of life, skill and luck seem hopelessly entangled. Different levels of skill and varying degrees of good and bad luck are the realities that shape our lives - yet few of us are adept at accurately distinguishing between the two. Imagine what we could accomplish if we were able to tease out these two threads, examine them, and use the resulting knowledge to make better decisions. In this provocative audiobook, Michael Mauboussin helps to untangle these intricate strands.
-
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Great clarity for sorting efforts and results
- De Philo en 01-16-13
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More Than You Know
- Finding Financial Wisdom in Unconventional Places
- De: Michael J. Mauboussin
- Narrado por: Sean Runnette
- Duración: 7 h y 27 m
- Versión completa
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General
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Narración:
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Historia
Since its first publication, Michael J. Mauboussin's popular guide to wise investing has been translated into eight languages and has been named best business book by BusinessWeek and best economics book by Strategy+Business. Now updated to reflect current research and expanded to include new chapters on investment philosophy, psychology, and strategy and science as they pertain to money management.
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Liked it better when it was written by Taleb
- De Ian en 11-24-18
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Expectations Investing
- Reading Stock Prices for Better Returns
- De: Michael J. Mauboussin, Alfred Rappaport
- Narrado por: Steve Routman
- Duración: 6 h y 59 m
- Versión completa
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General
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Narración:
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Historia
Expectations Investing offers a unique and powerful alternative for identifying value-price gaps. Rappaport and Mauboussin provide everything the listener needs to utilize the discounted cash flow model successfully. And they add an important twist: They suggest that rather than forecasting cash flows, investors should begin by estimating the expectations embedded in a company's stock price.
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Great book for a more educated investor. Definitely not the first book you should read from this outstanding author Mausboussin
- De BARRY en 11-25-22
De: Michael J. Mauboussin, y otros
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A Short History of Financial Euphoria
- De: John Kenneth Galbraith
- Narrado por: Liam Gerrard
- Duración: 2 h y 8 m
- Versión completa
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General
-
Narración:
-
Historia
With incomparable wisdom, skill, and wit, world-renowned economist John Kenneth Galbraith traces the history of the major speculative episodes in our economy over the last three centuries. Exposing the ways in which normally sane people display reckless behavior in pursuit of profit, Galbraith asserts that our "notoriously short" financial memory is what creates the conditions for market collapse. By recognizing these signs and understanding what causes them we can guard against future recessions and have a better hold on our country's (and our own) financial destiny.
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-
Good
- De SEB24 en 11-12-24
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Damn Right
- Behind the Scenes with Berkshire Hathaway Billionaire Charlie Munger (Revised)
- De: Janet Lowe
- Narrado por: Tom Parks
- Duración: 13 h y 25 m
- Versión completa
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General
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Narración:
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Historia
A must-listen biography from the author of the best-selling Warren Buffett Speaks.
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2019 audio of 1999 book
- De William J Brown en 03-10-20
De: Janet Lowe
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Understanding Michael Porter
- The Essential Guide to Competition and Strategy
- De: Joan Magretta
- Narrado por: Erik Synnestvedt
- Duración: 6 h y 4 m
- Versión completa
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General
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Narración:
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Historia
Michael Porter’s groundbreaking ideas on competition and strategy have unfolded over three decades and are spread across a dauntingly long list of publications. Every manager can name individual pieces of his work - competitive advantage, the value chain, five forces - but no one, not even Porter himself, has put the entire puzzle together to reveal it as an integrated whole. This lucid, concise audiobook does just that. This book provides an engaging summary of Porter’s ideas and an invaluable synthesis of this important body of work....
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Horrible and pompous narration
- De Amazon Customer en 08-28-13
De: Joan Magretta
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Superforecasting
- The Art and Science of Prediction
- De: Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner
- Narrado por: Joel Richards
- Duración: 9 h y 45 m
- Versión completa
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General
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Historia
Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week's meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts' predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight.
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Great for Experts
- De Michael en 02-20-17
De: Philip Tetlock, y otros
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Irrational Exuberance
- Revised and Expanded Third Edition
- De: Robert J. Shiller
- Narrado por: Mike Chamberlain
- Duración: 13 h y 47 m
- Versión completa
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With high stock and bond prices and the rising cost of housing, the post-subprime boom may well turn out to be another illustration of Shiller's influential argument that psychologically driven volatility is an inherent characteristic of all asset markets. In other words, Irrational Exuberance is as relevant as ever. Previous editions covered the stock and housing markets - and famously predicted their crashes. This edition expands its coverage to include the bond market, so that the book now addresses all of the major investment markets.
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Still Relevant After 21 Years
- De Tom en 06-08-21
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Tools of Titans
- The Tactics, Routines, and Habits of Billionaires, Icons, and World-Class Performers
- De: Tim Ferriss
- Narrado por: Ray Porter, Kaleo Griffith, Tim Ferriss, y otros
- Duración: 22 h y 41 m
- Versión completa
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The latest groundbreaking tome from Tim Ferriss, the number-one New York Times best-selling author of The 4-Hour Workweek. For the last two years, I've interviewed more than 200 world-class performers for my podcast, The Tim Ferriss Show. The guests range from super celebs (Jamie Foxx, Arnold Schwarzenegger, etc.) and athletes (icons of powerlifting, gymnastics, surfing, etc.) to legendary Special Operations commanders and black-market biochemists. For most of my guests, it’s the first time they’ve agreed to a two-to-three-hour interview.
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If I could sum it up: too much of a good thing
- De Brian Sachetta en 06-08-20
De: Tim Ferriss
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The Price of Time
- The Real Story of Interest
- De: Edward Chancellor
- Narrado por: Luis Soto
- Duración: 15 h y 7 m
- Versión completa
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In the beginning was the loan, and the loan carried interest. For at least five millennia people have been borrowing and lending at interest. Yet as capitalism became established from the late Middle Ages onwards, denunciations of interest were tempered because interest was a necessary reward for lenders to part with their capital. And interest performs many other vital functions: it encourages people to save; enables them to place a value on precious assets, such as houses and all manner of financial securities; and allows us to price risk.
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Big landscape in time and subjects; Austrian view
- De Philo en 08-29-22
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Fooled by Randomness
- The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
- De: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
- Narrado por: Sean Pratt
- Duración: 10 h y 3 m
- Versión completa
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This audiobook is about luck, or more precisely, how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. It is already a landmark work, and its title has entered our vocabulary. In its second edition, Fooled by Randomness is now a cornerstone for anyone interested in random outcomes.
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Pass on this one and read The Black Swan
- De Wade T. Brooks en 06-25-12
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Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
- Incerto, Book 1
- De: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
- Narrado por: Joe Ochman
- Duración: 8 h y 57 m
- Versión completa
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Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb - veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur has penned a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill - the world of trading - Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives.
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Not for MBAs and Economist
- De Ekele Onuh Oscar en 06-19-19
Lo que los oyentes dicen sobre Think Twice
Calificaciones medias de los clientesReseñas - Selecciona las pestañas a continuación para cambiar el origen de las reseñas.
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- MJ
- 05-25-16
ok book
I had to read this book for school. it's a good book about how to make good decisions. it's nothing ground breaking but it makes you realize most people that are very smart make really bad decisions also.
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- Fabian Alcazar
- 02-10-23
Read this book
Open your mind to cognitive biases and learn the basic foundations about what affects the choices you make
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- Anonymous User
- 07-20-23
Must read for any leader
Very applicable and easy to understand. I’ve already started implementing some of the decision making recommendations and seeing benefits.
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- jacques
- 03-26-12
interesting
make you realise how easy it is to manipulate yourself. The mind has the power.........
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esto le resultó útil a 1 persona
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- Kindle-klant
- 04-25-18
Great book. Very informative.
A superb collection of human psychological biases. After reading this book u will make better decisions in all aspects of life. Guaranteed.
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- BARRY
- 02-22-21
The author never disappoints.
The author never disappoints. I read all Michael Mauboussin books and articles. This was just as great as the rest.
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- fellow traveler
- 06-01-15
good book.
I found it to be a more practical consumable version of "Thinking Fast and Slow" which I also loved.
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esto le resultó útil a 1 persona
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- Natalie Winter
- 08-09-17
Would not Recommend
It was a struggle to finish because there are too many common ideas. For the price paid, it doesn't have enough original information.
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- Paul
- 08-06-18
A worthwhile read/listen
All in all a great book. It's not too long but packed with solid information. I'd give it an A-.
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- michael h
- 12-28-21
Is this the original?
Three books that are basically the same.
Think Twice by Michael j. Mauboussin. Release date 10-06-10
Think Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman. Release date 11-25-11
Rationality By Steven Pinker. Release date 9-28-21
This was disappointing to figure out by listening to these three books consecutively. All three use the same case study. All three are pretty much in the same chapter order.
The information is good I just don't like the unoriginality.
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