
The Primacy of Doubt
From Quantum Physics to Climate Change, How the Science of Uncertainty Can Help Us Understand Our Chaotic World
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Narrado por:
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Tim Palmer
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De:
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Tim Palmer
Acerca de esta escucha
Why does your weather app say “there’s a 10 percent chance of rain” instead of “it will be sunny”? In large part, this is due to the insight of award-winning physicist Tim Palmer, who pioneered the introduction of uncertainty into weather and climate prediction.
Now, he wants to apply it to how we study everything else.
In The Primacy of Doubt, Palmer gives us a revolutionary vision of mathematical uncertainty that provides new insights into a range of practical problems and some of the deepest questions in science and philosophy. He draws connections that are in equal parts unexpected and fascinating: how ensemble forecasts can predict unpredictability, how the brain uses noise for creative thinking, how the geometry of chaos forces us to rewrite the laws of quantum mechanics, and in so doing reconciles determinism, free will, and moral responsibility.
A tour de force from a brilliant mind, The Primacy of Doubt shows that the fundamental law of the universe might just be to expect the unexpected.
©2022 Tim Palmer (P)2022 Recorded BooksLos oyentes también disfrutaron...
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How much can we know about the world? In this audiobook physicist Marcelo Gleiser traces our search for answers to the most fundamental questions of existence, the origin of the universe, the nature of reality, and the limits of knowledge. In so doing he reaches a provocative conclusion: Science, like religion, is fundamentally limited as a tool for understanding the world. As science and its philosophical interpretations advance, we face the unsettling recognition of how much we don't know.
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Island of knowledge
- De Joshua Kring en 07-26-15
De: Marcelo Gleiser
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Paradox
- The Nine Greatest Enigmas in Physics
- De: Jim Al-Khalili
- Narrado por: Matthew Waterson
- Duración: 6 h y 54 m
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Throughout history, scientists have come up with theories and ideas that just don't seem to make sense. These we call paradoxes. The paradoxes Al-Khalili offers are drawn chiefly from physics and astronomy and represent those that have stumped some of the finest minds. With elegant explanations that bring the listener inside the mind of those who've developed them, Al-Khalili helps us to see that, in fact, paradoxes can be solved if seen from the right angle.
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Almost Useless
- De Michael en 06-19-19
De: Jim Al-Khalili
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Spooky Action at a Distance
- The Phenomenon That Reimagines Space and Time-and What It Means for Black Holes, the Big Bang, and Theories of Everything
- De: George Musser
- Narrado por: William Hughes
- Duración: 8 h y 37 m
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What is space? It isn't a question that most of us normally stop to ask. Space is the venue of physics; it's where things exist, where they move and take shape. Yet over the past few decades, physicists have discovered a phenomenon that operates outside the confines of space and time. The phenomenon - the ability of one particle to affect another instantly across the vastness of space - appears to be almost magical.
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Rambling but Asks Good Questions
- De Michael en 12-19-15
De: George Musser
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The Science of Rick and Morty
- The Unofficial Guide to Earth's Stupidest Show
- De: Matt Brady
- Narrado por: Joe Hempel
- Duración: 10 h y 27 m
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Blending biology, chemistry, and physics basics with accessible - and witty-prose, The Science of Rick and Morty equips you with the scientific foundation to thoroughly understand Rick's experiments from the show, such as how we can use dark matter and energy, just what is intelligence hacking, and whether or not you can really control a cockroach's nervous system with your tongue. Perfect for longtime and new fans of the show, this is the ultimate segue into discovering more about our complicated and fascinating universe.
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Some good science in here?
- De Darin Harbert en 02-06-20
De: Matt Brady
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Beyond Biocentrism
- Rethinking Time, Space, Consciousness, and the Illusion of Death
- De: Robert Lanza, Bob Berman
- Narrado por: Peter Ganim
- Duración: 7 h y 16 m
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In Beyond Biocentrism, acclaimed biologist Robert Lanza and astronomer Bob Berman take the listener on an intellectual thrill ride as they reexamine everything we thought we knew about life, death, the universe, and the nature of reality itself. The first step is acknowledging that our existing model of reality is looking increasingly creaky in the face of recent scientific discoveries.
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Here's the thing
- De Mikal en 11-09-18
De: Robert Lanza, y otros
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On the Future
- Prospects for Humanity
- De: Martin Rees
- Narrado por: Martin Rees, Samuel West
- Duración: 5 h y 26 m
- Versión completa
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Humanity has reached a critical moment. Our world is unsettled and rapidly changing, and we face existential risks over the next century. Various outcomes - good and bad - are possible. Yet our approach to the future is characterized by short-term thinking, polarizing debates, alarmist rhetoric, and pessimism. In this short, exhilarating book, renowned scientist and best-selling author Martin Rees argues that humanity’s prospects depend on our taking a very different approach to planning for tomorrow.
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Science, the future, and great wisdom
- De Philomath en 10-29-18
De: Martin Rees
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The Theory of Everything
- The Origin and Fate of the Universe
- De: Stephen Hawking
- Narrado por: Michael York
- Duración: 3 h y 55 m
- Versión completa
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In physicist Stephen Hawking's brilliant opus, A Brief History of Time, he presented us with a bold new look at our universe, how it began, and how our old views of physics and tired theories about the creation of the universe were no longer relevant. In other words, Hawking gave us a new look at our world, our universe, and ourselves. Now, Hawking presents an even more comprehensive look at our universe, its creation, and how we see ourselves within it.
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Shares a lot of text with a Brief History of Time.
- De Roc Myers en 01-07-15
De: Stephen Hawking
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Calculating the Cosmos
- How Mathematics Unveils the Universe
- De: Ian Stewart
- Narrado por: Dana Hickox
- Duración: 12 h y 39 m
- Versión completa
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In Calculating the Cosmos, Ian Stewart presents an exhilarating guide to the cosmos, from our solar system to the entire universe. He describes the architecture of space and time, dark matter and dark energy, how galaxies form, why stars implode, how everything began, and how it's all going to end. He considers parallel universes, the fine-tuning of the cosmos for life, what forms extraterrestrial life might take, and the likelihood of life on Earth being snuffed out by an asteroid.
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Crank alert: rejects modern cosmology
- De James Weisner en 03-20-17
De: Ian Stewart
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The Grand Biocentric Design
- How Life Creates Reality
- De: Robert Lanza, Matej Pavšič
- Narrado por: Peter Ganim
- Duración: 8 h y 18 m
- Versión completa
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What is consciousness? Why are we here? Where did it all come from - the laws of nature, the stars, the universe? Humans have been asking these questions forever, but science hasn't succeeded in providing many answers - until now. In The Grand Biocentric Design, Robert Lanza, one of Time magazine's "100 Most Influential People", is joined by theoretical physicist Matej Pavšic and astronomer Bob Berman to shed light on the big picture that has long eluded philosophers and scientists alike.
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Should be in the fiction section.
- De Frank en 12-29-20
De: Robert Lanza, y otros
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The Universe in the Rearview Mirror
- How Hidden Symmetries Shape Reality
- De: Dave Goldberg
- Narrado por: Chris Sorensen
- Duración: 10 h y 35 m
- Versión completa
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A physicist speeds across space, time, and everything in between showing that our elegant universe from the Higgs boson to antimatter to the most massive group of galaxies is shaped by hidden symmetries that have driven all our recent discoveries about the universe and all the ones to come. Why is the sky dark at night? Is it possible to build a shrink-ray gun? If there is antimatter, can there be antipeople? Why are past, present, and future our only options? Are time and space like a butterfly's wings? No one but Dave Goldberg, the coolest nerd physicist on the planet, could give a hyper-drive tour of the universe like this one.
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Good, but for whom?
- De Michael en 08-31-13
De: Dave Goldberg
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Dance of the Photons
- From Einstein to Quantum Teleportation
- De: Anton Zeilinger
- Narrado por: L. J. Ganser
- Duración: 8 h y 37 m
- Versión completa
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Einstein's steadfast refusal to accept certain aspects of quantum theory was rooted in his insistence that physics has to be about reality. Accordingly, he once derided as spooky action at a distance the notion that two elementary particles far removed from each other could nonetheless influence each others propertiesa hypothetical phenomenon his fellow theorist Erwin Schrdinger termed quantum entanglement.
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Brilliant author tries hard, but comes up short...
- De Michael en 07-27-12
De: Anton Zeilinger
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Free Agents
- How Evolution Gave Us Free Will
- De: Kevin J. Mitchell
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Scientists are learning more and more about how brain activity controls behavior and how neural circuits weigh alternatives and initiate actions. As we probe ever deeper into the mechanics of decision making, many conclude that agency—or free will—is an illusion. In Free Agents, leading neuroscientist Kevin Mitchell presents a wealth of evidence to the contrary, arguing that we are not mere machines responding to physical forces but agents acting with purpose.
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Adding Clarity to Agency
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Origins, Revised and Updated
- Fourteen Billion Years of Cosmic Evolution
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Our true origins are not only human, or even terrestrial, but in fact cosmic. Drawing on recent scientific breakthroughs and cross-pollination among geology, biology, astrophysics, and cosmology, Origins illuminates the soul-stirring leaps in our understanding of the cosmos. This newly revised and updated edition features such startling discoveries as the more than 5,000 newly detected exoplanets that shed light on the origins of and possibilities for life in the cosmos.
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There is nothing here
- De Hermanubis en 12-30-22
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The Invisible Bridge
- The Fall of Nixon and the Rise of Reagan
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In January of 1973 Richard Nixon announced the end of the Vietnam War and prepared for a triumphant second term - until televised Watergate hearings revealed his White House as little better than a mafia den. The next president declared upon Nixon’s resignation “our long national nightmare is over” - but then congressional investigators exposed the CIA for assassinating foreign leaders. The collapse of the South Vietnamese government rendered moot the sacrifice of some 58,000 American lives.
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Brilliant
- De Tad Davis en 10-03-14
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Bernoulli's Fallacy
- Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science
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- Narrado por: Tim H. Dixon
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Aubrey Clayton traces the history of how statistics went astray, beginning with the groundbreaking work of the 17th-century mathematician Jacob Bernoulli and winding through gambling, astronomy, and genetics. Clayton recounts the feuds among rival schools of statistics, exploring the surprisingly human problems that gave rise to the discipline and the all-too-human shortcomings that derailed it.
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Rigorously Bayesian
- De Anonymous User en 01-25-22
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Dark Horse
- Achieving Success Through the Pursuit of Fulfillment
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In Dark Horse, Rose and Ogas show how the four elements of the dark horse mind-set empower you to consistently make the right choices that fit your unique interests, abilities, and circumstances and will guide you to a life of passion, purpose, and achievement.
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If you're anything like me, you have to read this
- De Bree en 11-08-19
De: Todd Rose, y otros
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Between Past and Future
- Eight Exercises in Political Thought
- De: Hannah Arendt
- Narrado por: Bernadette Dunne
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Hannah Arendt's insightful observations of the modern world, based on a profound knowledge of the past, constitute an impassioned contribution to political philosophy. In Between Past and Future, Arendt describes the perplexing crises modern society faces as a result of the loss of meaning of the traditional key words of politics: justice, reason, responsibility, virtue, and glory. Through a series of eight exercises, she shows how we can redistill the vital essence of these concepts and use them to regain a frame of reference for the future.
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Just stunning
- De Peter Stephens en 02-26-18
De: Hannah Arendt
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Free Agents
- How Evolution Gave Us Free Will
- De: Kevin J. Mitchell
- Narrado por: Kevin J. Mitchell
- Duración: 10 h y 52 m
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Scientists are learning more and more about how brain activity controls behavior and how neural circuits weigh alternatives and initiate actions. As we probe ever deeper into the mechanics of decision making, many conclude that agency—or free will—is an illusion. In Free Agents, leading neuroscientist Kevin Mitchell presents a wealth of evidence to the contrary, arguing that we are not mere machines responding to physical forces but agents acting with purpose.
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Adding Clarity to Agency
- De Brad Caldwell en 10-10-23
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Origins, Revised and Updated
- Fourteen Billion Years of Cosmic Evolution
- De: Donald Goldsmith, Neil deGrasse Tyson
- Narrado por: JD Jackson
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Our true origins are not only human, or even terrestrial, but in fact cosmic. Drawing on recent scientific breakthroughs and cross-pollination among geology, biology, astrophysics, and cosmology, Origins illuminates the soul-stirring leaps in our understanding of the cosmos. This newly revised and updated edition features such startling discoveries as the more than 5,000 newly detected exoplanets that shed light on the origins of and possibilities for life in the cosmos.
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There is nothing here
- De Hermanubis en 12-30-22
De: Donald Goldsmith, y otros
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The Invisible Bridge
- The Fall of Nixon and the Rise of Reagan
- De: Rick Perlstein
- Narrado por: David de Vries
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In January of 1973 Richard Nixon announced the end of the Vietnam War and prepared for a triumphant second term - until televised Watergate hearings revealed his White House as little better than a mafia den. The next president declared upon Nixon’s resignation “our long national nightmare is over” - but then congressional investigators exposed the CIA for assassinating foreign leaders. The collapse of the South Vietnamese government rendered moot the sacrifice of some 58,000 American lives.
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Brilliant
- De Tad Davis en 10-03-14
De: Rick Perlstein
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Bernoulli's Fallacy
- Statistical Illogic and the Crisis of Modern Science
- De: Aubrey Clayton
- Narrado por: Tim H. Dixon
- Duración: 15 h y 14 m
- Versión completa
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General
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Historia
Aubrey Clayton traces the history of how statistics went astray, beginning with the groundbreaking work of the 17th-century mathematician Jacob Bernoulli and winding through gambling, astronomy, and genetics. Clayton recounts the feuds among rival schools of statistics, exploring the surprisingly human problems that gave rise to the discipline and the all-too-human shortcomings that derailed it.
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Rigorously Bayesian
- De Anonymous User en 01-25-22
De: Aubrey Clayton
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Dark Horse
- Achieving Success Through the Pursuit of Fulfillment
- De: Todd Rose, Ogi Ogas
- Narrado por: Roger Wayne
- Duración: 6 h y 46 m
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In Dark Horse, Rose and Ogas show how the four elements of the dark horse mind-set empower you to consistently make the right choices that fit your unique interests, abilities, and circumstances and will guide you to a life of passion, purpose, and achievement.
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If you're anything like me, you have to read this
- De Bree en 11-08-19
De: Todd Rose, y otros
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Between Past and Future
- Eight Exercises in Political Thought
- De: Hannah Arendt
- Narrado por: Bernadette Dunne
- Duración: 11 h y 58 m
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Hannah Arendt's insightful observations of the modern world, based on a profound knowledge of the past, constitute an impassioned contribution to political philosophy. In Between Past and Future, Arendt describes the perplexing crises modern society faces as a result of the loss of meaning of the traditional key words of politics: justice, reason, responsibility, virtue, and glory. Through a series of eight exercises, she shows how we can redistill the vital essence of these concepts and use them to regain a frame of reference for the future.
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Just stunning
- De Peter Stephens en 02-26-18
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Quantum Space
- Loop Quantum Gravity and the Search for the Structure of Space, Time, and the Universe
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- Narrado por: Nigel Patterson
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Today we are blessed with two extraordinarily successful theories of physics. The first is Albert Einstein's general theory of relativity, which describes the large-scale behavior of matter in a curved spacetime. The second is quantum mechanics. This theory describes the properties and behavior of matter and radiation at their smallest scales.
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Interesting but not Convincing
- De Michael en 10-08-19
De: Jim Baggott
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The Lost World of Byzantium
- De: Jonathan Harris
- Narrado por: Gareth Richards
- Duración: 12 h y 29 m
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For more than a millennium, the Byzantine Empire presided over the juncture between East and West, as well as the transition from the classical to the modern world. Rather than recounting the standard chronology of emperors and battles, leading Byzantium scholar Jonathan Harris focuses on a succession of archetypal figures, families, places, and events.
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a survey of Byzantium
- De Salvador en 12-22-23
De: Jonathan Harris
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Marriage and the Family in the Middle Ages
- De: Frances Gies, Joseph Gies
- Narrado por: Anne Flosnik
- Duración: 11 h y 18 m
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Historians have only recently awakened to the importance of the family, the basic social unit throughout human history. This book traces the development of marriage and the family from the Middle Ages to the early modern era. It describes how the Roman and barbarian cultural streams merged under the influence of the Christian church to forge new concepts, customs, laws, and practices. Century by century, it follows the development—sometimes gradual, at other times revolutionary—of significant elements in the history of the family.
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Fun narration for an interesting topic
- De Anonymous User en 05-31-24
De: Frances Gies, y otros
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The Allure of the Multiverse
- Extra Dimensions, Other Worlds, and Parallel Universes
- De: Paul Halpern
- Narrado por: Paul Woodson
- Duración: 11 h y 12 m
- Versión completa
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Historia
In The Allure of the Multiverse, physicist Paul Halpern tells the epic story of how science became besotted with the multiverse, and the controversies that ensued. The questions that brought scientists to this point are big and deep: Is reality such that anything can happen, must happen? How does quantum mechanics "choose" the outcomes of its apparently random processes? And why is the universe habitable? Each question quickly leads to the multiverse.
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Disappointing
- De Amazon Customer en 02-26-24
De: Paul Halpern
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The Knowledge Machine
- How Irrationality Created Modern Science
- De: Michael Strevens
- Narrado por: Julian Elfer
- Duración: 8 h y 16 m
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A paradigm-shifting work that revolutionizes our understanding of the origins and structure of science.
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Almost there. Scholarly review.
- De John en 05-02-21
De: Michael Strevens
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A Brief History of Equality
- De: Thomas Piketty
- Narrado por: Fred Sanders
- Duración: 8 h y 43 m
- Versión completa
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The world’s leading economist of inequality presents a short but sweeping and surprisingly optimistic history of human progress toward equality despite crises, disasters, and backsliding, a perfect introduction to the ideas developed in his monumental earlier books.
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Excellent, more accessable, contribution.
- De P. Dean en 09-30-22
De: Thomas Piketty
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Waves in an Impossible Sea
- How Everyday Life Emerges from the Cosmic Ocean
- De: Matt Strassler
- Narrado por: Christopher Grove
- Duración: 11 h y 31 m
- Versión completa
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Historia
In Waves in an Impossible Sea, physicist Matt Strassler tells a startling tale of elementary particles, human experience, and empty space. He begins with a simple mystery of motion. When we drive at highway speeds with the windows down, the wind beats against our faces. Yet our planet hurtles through the cosmos at 150 miles per second, and we feel nothing of it. How can our voyage be so tranquil when, as Einstein discovered, matter warps space, and space deflects matter? The answer, Strassler reveals, is that empty space is a sea, albeit a paradoxically strange one.
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Thought provoking
- De Lee Ann Moyer en 12-09-24
De: Matt Strassler
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The Catalyst
- RNA and the Quest to Unlock Life's Deepest Secrets
- De: Thomas R. Cech
- Narrado por: Joshua Saxon
- Duración: 6 h y 54 m
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A gripping journey of discovery, The Catalyst moves from the early experiments that first hinted at RNA's spectacular powers, to Cech's own paradigm-shifting finding that it can catalyze cellular reactions, to the cutting-edge biotechnologies poised to reshape our health.
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Captivating
- De Auinash Kalsotra en 09-16-24
De: Thomas R. Cech
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The Case Against Reality
- Why Evolution Hid the Truth from Our Eyes
- De: Donald Hoffman
- Narrado por: Timothy Andrés Pabon
- Duración: 8 h y 43 m
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Challenging leading scientific theories that claim that our senses report back objective reality, cognitive scientist Donald Hoffman argues that while we should take our perceptions seriously, we should not take them literally. How can it be possible that the world we see is not objective reality? And how can our senses be useful if they are not communicating the truth? Hoffman grapples with these questions and more over the course of this eye-opening work.
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Don't buy - visual examples missing, no pdf
- De Richard Pickett en 08-26-19
De: Donald Hoffman
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The Experience Machine
- How Our Minds Predict and Shape Reality
- De: Andy Clark
- Narrado por: Andy Clark
- Duración: 8 h y 36 m
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For as long as we’ve studied human cognition, we’ve believed that our senses give us direct access to the world. What we see is what’s really there—or so the thinking goes. But new discoveries in neuroscience and psychology have turned this assumption on its head. What if rather than perceiving reality passively, your mind actively predicts it?
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About halfway through, it became propaganda
- De Jesse Helton en 08-13-23
De: Andy Clark
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The Evidence for Modern Physics
- How We Know What We Know
- De: Professor Don Lincoln, The Great Courses
- Narrado por: Professor Don Lincoln
- Duración: 11 h y 54 m
- Grabación Original
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General
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Historia
In this 24-lesson course aimed at non-scientists, noted particle physicist Dr. Don Lincoln of Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory covers more than a century of progress in physics, describing exactly how scientists reach the conclusions they do. He starts with the atom, which was long hypothesized but wasn’t definitively proven until a paper by Albert Einstein in 1905. That was just the beginning, as researchers probed ever deeper into the atom’s complex structure, leading to the weird findings of quantum mechanics.
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Strongly Recommend for Everyone
- De Liam A en 05-23-21
De: Professor Don Lincoln, y otros
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The Demon in the Machine
- How Hidden Webs of Information Are Solving the Mystery of Life
- De: Paul Davies
- Narrado por: Nigel Patterson
- Duración: 9 h y 13 m
- Versión completa
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What is life? In this penetrating and wide-ranging book, world-renowned physicist and science communicator Paul Davies searches for answers in a field so new and fast-moving that it lacks a name; it is a domain where biology, computing, logic, chemistry, quantum physics, and nanotechnology intersect.
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Thought Provoking
- De Amazon Customer en 08-26-24
De: Paul Davies
Lo que los oyentes dicen sobre The Primacy of Doubt
Calificaciones medias de los clientesReseñas - Selecciona las pestañas a continuación para cambiar el origen de las reseñas.
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- Jacob Brenner
- 04-28-23
2/3 great science, 1/3 fun speculation
The application of nonlinear dynamics and chaos theory, primarily to weather and climate. The last third is very speculative and fun to think about, but even Palmer notes that this is currently unconstrained speculation. Also a very clear eyed view on human-induced climate change.
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- Eli L
- 07-09-24
Great
Loved the listen. Digestible but likely requires a bit of prior knowledge on some of the topics. Author does a great job breaking things down.
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- @DrCarlHoffman
- 02-03-23
Regarding God
He basically explains process theology in the last chapter. Although it is not published, I wrote a book on this subject.
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esto le resultó útil a 3 personas
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- James S.
- 03-10-23
Applied chaos theory; beware of quantum quackery
The author defended his physics PhD thesis on general relativity, but then switched to weather modelling where he made some important discoveries; e.g. the significance of large-scale atmospheric waves on climate.
He discusses many applications of nonlinear dynamics (aka chaos), e.g. in climate modelling, the spread of covid, etc. This part of the book is great.
He eventually meanders off into what many physicists would consider "the weeds" with discussions on consciousness and untestable connections between chaos and quantum mechanics. I don't think he made a very persuasive argument regarding the later, but it seems he ran out of space in the book to delve much deeper.
A good pop-sci book, with plenty of learning and edutainment to be had by all.
The book is well written, and equally well narrated by the author.
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esto le resultó útil a 4 personas
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- Cara Rhoades
- 10-01-23
Excellent critical thinking fuel
Including uncertainty as a value-adding component of reasoning about all of our modern complex issues is essential. This book describes why and how.
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- Brandon B.
- 01-08-23
Awesome
I really enjoyed this book. Well written, informative and thought provoking. Narration was excellent. Great if you’re into something a bit more challenging that typical popular science type books.
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- jhar14
- 02-01-24
Learned a ton
Scientists who have been in multiple industries should have more importance placed on what they have to say. This was an incredible book. The most fair and honest assessment of the climate situation I have come across. Super interesting and engaging. I learned a ton. I read/listen to ~50 books a year. This is going to be top 5 for sure. Thanks for writing this Tim Palmer!
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- Shalom Drimer
- 06-30-24
Good intentions but not great
Professor Tim Palmer has written a book with great potential but I was disappointed. He tried to be balanced on many issues like climate change and pandemics but seems to be unaware to the extent of bias in which, him and other scientists, have when they create prediction models. Even in the chapter of free will, it felt to me that it fell short on saying anything profound and substantial.
I was a bit disappointed.
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