
The Age of Prediction
Algorithms, AI, and the Shifting Shadows of Risk
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Narrado por:
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Ian Bedford
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The power of the ever-increasing tools and algorithms for prediction and their paradoxical effects on risk.
The Age of Prediction is about two powerful, and symbiotic, trends: the rapid development and use of artificial intelligence and big data to enhance prediction, as well as the often paradoxical effects of these better predictions on our understanding of risk and the ways we live. Beginning with dramatic advances in quantitative investing and precision medicine, this book explores how predictive technology is quietly reshaping our world in fundamental ways, from crime fighting and warfare to monitoring individual health and elections.
As prediction grows more robust, it also alters the nature of the accompanying risk, setting up unintended and unexpected consequences. The Age of Prediction details how predictive certainties can bring about complacency or even an increase in risks—genomic analysis might lead to unhealthier lifestyles or a GPS might encourage less attentive driving. With greater predictability also comes a degree of mystery, and the authors ask how narrower risks might affect markets, insurance, or risk tolerance generally. Can we ever reduce risk to zero? Should we even try? This book lays an intriguing groundwork for answering these fundamental questions and maps out the latest tools and technologies that power these projections into the future, sometimes using novel, cross-disciplinary tools to map out cancer growth, people’s medical risks, and stock dynamics.
PLEASE NOTE: When you purchase this title, the accompanying PDF will be available in your Audible Library along with the audio.
©2023 Igor Tulchinsky and Christopher E. Mason (P)2023 Audible, Inc.Los oyentes también disfrutaron...
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Historia
Katrina. Haiti. BP. Fukushima. The Great Recession. Those are just a few of the catastrophic disruptions the world has endured in recent years. As we try to respond to such crises, key questions arise: What causes one system to break under great stress and another to rebound? How much change can a complex system absorb while still retaining its purpose and function? What characteristics make it adaptive to change? Provocative and eye-opening, Resilience sheds light on the nature of change.
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Totally Misleading Title
- De Doug en 07-18-12
De: Andrew Zolli, y otros
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The Mind of the Market
- Compassionate Apes, Competitive Humans and Other Tales from Evolutionary Economics
- De: Michael Shermer
- Narrado por: Michael Shermer
- Duración: 5 h y 26 m
- Versión resumida
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The Mind of the Market will change the way we think about the economics of everyday life. Drawing on research from neuroeconomics, Michael Shermer explores what brain scans reveal about bargaining, snap purchases, and how trust is established in business. Utilizing experiments in behavioral economics, Shermer shows why people hang on to losing stocks and failing companies, why business negotiations often disintegrate into emotional tit-for-tat disputes, and why money does not make us happy.
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Good ideas overshadowed by obnoxious polemics
- De Philo en 09-15-13
De: Michael Shermer
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Whiplash
- How to Survive Our Faster Future
- De: Joi Ito, Jeff Howe
- Narrado por: James Foster
- Duración: 7 h y 48 m
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Today, not only is everything digital getting faster, cheaper, and smaller at an exponential rate, we also have the Internet. When these two revolutions - one in technology and the other in communications - joined, an explosive force was unleashed that changed the very nature of innovation. And with any change, we have seen many strategic blunders and extraordinary learning curves along the way.
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Just general advice on how to survive
- De A. Yoshida en 09-01-17
De: Joi Ito, y otros
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System Error
- Where Big Tech Went Wrong and How We Can Reboot
- De: Rob Reich, Mehran Sahami, Jeremy M. Weinstein
- Narrado por: Kaleo Griffith
- Duración: 11 h y 28 m
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In no more than the blink of an eye, a naïve optimism about technology’s liberating potential has given way to a dystopian obsession with biased algorithms, surveillance capitalism, and job-displacing robots. System Error exposes the root of our current predicament - how big tech’s relentless focus on optimization is driving a future that reinforces discrimination, erodes privacy, displaces workers, and pollutes the information we get- and outlines steps we can take to change course, renew our democracy, and save ourselves.
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Excellent on tech. Weak on political speech.
- De Kindle Customer en 11-05-21
De: Rob Reich, y otros
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A Crack in Creation
- Gene Editing and the Unthinkable Power to Control Evolution
- De: Jennifer A. Doudna, Samuel H. Sternberg
- Narrado por: Erin Bennett
- Duración: 9 h y 22 m
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Not since the atomic bomb has a technology so alarmed its inventors that they warned the world about its use. Not, that is, until the spring of 2015, when biologist Jennifer Doudna called for a worldwide moratorium on the use of the new gene-editing tool CRISPR - a revolutionary new technology that she helped create - to make heritable changes in human embryos.
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In to the abyss we ascend, a scary future
- De Philomath en 06-17-17
De: Jennifer A. Doudna, y otros
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Pandora's Seed
- The Unforeseen Cost of Civilization
- De: Spencer Wells
- Narrado por: Spencer Wells
- Duración: 6 h y 40 m
- Versión completa
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This new book by Spencer Wells, the internationally known geneticist, anthropologist, author, and director of the Genographic Project, focuses on the seminal event in human history: mankind's decision to become farmers rather than hunter-gatherers.
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Short and unfocused, but often quite interesting.
- De Alan en 06-23-10
De: Spencer Wells
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Superminds
- The Surprising Power of People and Computers Thinking Together
- De: Thomas W. Malone
- Narrado por: Mel Foster
- Duración: 11 h y 11 m
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Many people today are so dazzled by the long-term potential for artificial intelligence that they overlook the much clearer and more immediate potential for a new form of "collective intelligence": the intelligence of groups of people and computers working together. In Superminds, Thomas Malone explains what we need to do to take advantage of this potential. Groundbreaking and utterly fascinating, Superminds will change the way you work - both with others and with computers - for the better.
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"Why did a Kenyan immigrant win the 2008 election"
- De RealTruth en 07-11-18
De: Thomas W. Malone
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Why Information Grows
- The Evolution of Order, from Atoms to Economies
- De: César Hidalgo
- Narrado por: Stephen Hoye
- Duración: 5 h y 54 m
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What is economic growth? And why, historically, has it occurred in only a few places? Previous efforts to answer these questions have focused on institutions, geography, finances, and psychology. But according to MIT's anti-disciplinarian César Hidalgo, understanding the nature of economic growth demands transcending the social sciences and including the natural sciences of information, networks, and complexity. To understand the growth of economies, Hidalgo argues, we first need to understand the growth of order.
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Great book!
- De bpjammin en 01-07-17
De: César Hidalgo
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Jump-Starting America
- How Breakthrough Science Can Revive Economic Growth and the American Dream
- De: Jonathan Gruber, Simon Johnson
- Narrado por: Robert Fass
- Duración: 9 h y 57 m
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The untold story of how America once created the most successful economy the world has ever seen and how we can do it again.
De: Jonathan Gruber, y otros
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T-Minus AI
- Humanity's Countdown to Artificial Intelligence and the New Pursuit of Global Power
- De: Michael Kanaan
- Narrado por: Braden Wright
- Duración: 8 h y 28 m
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In T-Minus AI: Humanity's Countdown to Artificial Intelligence and the New Pursuit of Global Power, author Michael Kanaan explains the realities of AI from a human-oriented perspective that's easy to comprehend. A recognized national expert and the U.S. Air Force's first Chairperson for Artificial Intelligence, Kanaan weaves a compelling new view on our history of innovation and technology to masterfully explain what each of us should know about modern computing, AI, and machine learning.
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Trivial Book Regarding AI
- De AstroMan en 10-30-20
De: Michael Kanaan
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The Genetic Lottery
- Why DNA Matters for Social Equality
- De: Kathryn Paige Harden
- Narrado por: Katherine Fenton
- Duración: 10 h y 4 m
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In The Genetic Lottery, Harden introduces listeners to the latest genetic science, dismantling dangerous ideas about racial superiority and challenging us to grapple with what equality really means in a world where people are born different. Weaving together personal stories with scientific evidence, Harden shows why our refusal to recognize the power of DNA perpetuates the myth of meritocracy, and argues that we must acknowledge the role of genetic luck if we are ever to create a fair society.
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Mix of Genetic Science and Ideology
- De James en 10-12-21
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Abundance
- The Future Is Better Than You Think
- De: Steven Kotler, Peter H. Diamandis
- Narrado por: Keith Sellon-Wright
- Duración: 10 h y 19 m
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Space entrepreneur turned innovation pioneer Peter H. Diamandis and award-winning science writer Steven Kotler document how progress in artificial intelligence, robotics, digital manufacturing synthetic biology, and other exponentially growing technologies will enable us to make greater gains in the next two decades than we have in the previous 200 years.
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Perhaps multiply his time estimates by 10
- De Rick en 11-06-21
De: Steven Kotler, y otros
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The Future of the Professions
- How Technology Will Transform the Work of Human Experts
- De: Richard Susskind, Daniel Susskind
- Narrado por: John Lee
- Duración: 12 h y 39 m
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This book predicts the decline of today's professions and describes the people and systems that will replace them. In an Internet society, according to Richard Susskind and Daniel Susskind, we will neither need nor want doctors, teachers, accountants, architects, the clergy, consultants, lawyers, and many others to work as they did in the 20th century.
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I Hope It's Not All True
- De John en 05-01-16
De: Richard Susskind, y otros
Lo que los oyentes dicen sobre The Age of Prediction
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- Tolga Oguz
- 01-27-24
Interesting but a lot complex topics
Hard to drive insights and conclusions as an audio book. Better to read on paper and digest.
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