In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead' by Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss upcoming macroeconomic themes. They cover the impact of global trade tariffs, particularly the March 4th deadline for tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, on FX markets and volatility. They also talk about key economic indicators such as the February CAIXIN PMI from China, global manufacturing and services PMI, and the significant ECB meeting. Lastly, they focus on the US with ISM manufacturing and service sector activity, ADP, trade data, and the highly anticipated non-farm payrolls, providing insights on how these factors may shape market sentiment and positioning next week.

00:00 Introduction and Overview
00:42 Global Trade and Geopolitical Events
02:24 European Economic Outlook and ECB Meeting
04:14 US Economic Outlook and Key Data Releases
06:29 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' Matt Jones, Head of Distribution for Eurizon SLJ Capital, and Neil Staines, Senior Portfolio Manager, provide a detailed analysis of the upcoming macroeconomic themes and events. The focus begins with the German elections and their potential impact on coalition dynamics, crucial for significant fiscal policies. They also discuss the European economic outlook, specifically referencing the IFO index and comments from ECB's Isabel Schnabel. The conversation covers a range of central bank speakers from the DM economies, expected economic data releases, and their implications for monetary policy, particularly in the UK, Eurozone, and the US. They also examine US economic indicators and sentiment shifts that could affect equity markets.

00:00 Introduction and Overview
00:53 Focus on Germany and Europe
03:56 Central Bank Speakers and Economic Data
06:04 US Economic Outlook and Key Data Releases
07:34 Market Volatility and Key Events
09:24 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead' by Eurizon SLJ Capital, Matt Jones and Neil Staines discuss the key macroeconomic themes and data to watch in the upcoming week. As the US has a quiet week with President's Day and the end of the earnings season, the focus shifts internationally. Key data includes Japanese Q4 GDP, rate decisions from the RBA and RBNZ, and Japanese CPI. Global flash PMIs and the German election will also be closely monitored. The discussion touches on the implications of US policy on tariffs and the Russia-Ukraine situation, noting a shift towards a more negotiated and less confrontational path on tariffs. The UK economic outlook is also explored with significant upcoming data releases and their impact on the Bank of England's monetary policy.

00:00 Introduction to Global Macro Factors
00:30 Welcome and Introductions
00:55 Upcoming Week's Global Economic Data
03:27 Focus on Tariffs and Geopolitical Themes
06:22 UK Economic Data and Bank of England Outlook
08:49 Conclusion and Closing Remarks

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' Matt Jones and Neil Staines from Eurizon SLJ Capital discuss global macroeconomic themes set to shape the upcoming week. They explore the Trump administration's fiscal policies, the impact of tariffs and trade relations with China, and the anticipated data releases, including CPI, PPI, and retail sales. The episode also delves into the UK's monetary policy following a recent rate cut by the Bank of England and its implications for inflation and economic growth. Additionally, the show touches on upcoming releases of Chinese economic data and the expected fiscal and monetary interactions in the US.

00:00 Introduction to Fiscal Policies and Market Views
00:27 Welcome and Introduction of Hosts
00:52 China's Economic Outlook and Global Impact
02:42 US Fiscal and Monetary Policy Analysis
05:07 UK Monetary Policy and Economic Projections
07:12 Weekend Sports Highlights and Closing Remarks

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this edition of The Long & Short, Neil Staines examines how swift US policy shifts contrast with Europe’s slower regulatory pace, shaping economic competitiveness and market sentiment.

• The US is enacting policy changes rapidly, while Europe remains stuck in slow-moving regulatory debates, which are impacting economic competitiveness and market sentiment.
• While the new US administration has drawn attention, the Federal Reserve's latest meeting underscored a slowing pace of rate cuts, reinforcing a more cautious monetary policy stance.
• Despite minor hawkish changes in the FOMC statement, Chair Powell emphasized a balanced stance, highlighting that policy rates remain restrictive and maintaining the implicit dovish bias.
• The Fed's policy trajectory depends on four key variables tied to the new administration—tariffs, immigration, deregulation, and fiscal consolidation—all of which influence hashtag#inflation, the labour market, and the yield curve.
• The ECB cut rates as expected but hinted at a more optimistic growth outlook. Real wages are rising, credit affordability is improving, and the global trade recovery is supporting European exports.
• While many factors shape the global hashtag#macro landscape, the most significant driver remains the economic and fiscal policies of the new US administration, with the Fed - and possibly global markets - pausing until more clarity emerges.

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead,' Matt Jones from Eurizon SLJ Capital is joined by Neil Staines to discuss key macroeconomic themes of the upcoming week. The episode focuses on the Federal Reserve and ECB policies, recent PMI data, and anticipated economic indicators such as the US ISM Manufacturing, JOLTS, ADP, and non-farm payrolls. It also examines the ECB's recent rate cut and its implications for inflation and growth in the Eurozone. The UK's economic outlook and potential interest rate cuts by the Bank of England are also discussed, along with a roundup of significant earnings reports from major corporations.

00:00 Introduction and Market Focus
00:21 Welcome and Introductions
00:53 US Economic Data and Fed Policy
03:33 European Central Bank and Eurozone Outlook
05:37 UK Economy and Bank of England
07:59 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

In this episode of 'The Long and Short', an audio blog by Eurizon SLJ Capital, Neil Staines discusses the macroeconomic themes from the past week. Key topics include anticipated interest rate cuts in the UK, the impact of fiscal policies on employment and inflation, the US Presidential Inauguration amidst the World Economic Forum in Davos, the usage of tariffs as a negotiation tool by President Trump, and a freeze on Federal civilian hiring. The episode also outlines expectations for US inflation trajectories and anticipates the focus of upcoming ECB meetings and potential German fiscal easing. This newsletter targets professional investors and provides in-depth insights into the current economic landscape.

00:00 Introduction and Overview
00:24 UK Economic Outlook
00:32 US Presidential Inauguration
03:10 US Tariff Policies
04:47 Federal Hiring Freeze
05:46 US Inflation Trends
07:19 Looking Ahead: Europe and the US
08:15 Disclaimer and Legal Information

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.

This episode of 'The Long and Short of the Week Ahead' by Eurizon SLJ Capital features Matt Jones and Neil Staines discussing the key macroeconomic themes and market focuses for the upcoming week. They analyze the impact of recent political events including President Trump's executive actions and the World Economic Forum in Davos, and delve into the implications of upcoming data releases and central bank actions in the US, Europe, Australia, China, and emerging markets. Key topics include the ECB's potential rate cut, US inflation trajectory, and global trade negotiations.

00:00 Introduction and Market Focus
00:47 Political Focus: US Presidential Inauguration and Global Events
02:38 Global Economic Outlook: China, Australia, and Emerging Markets
03:32 European Central Bank and Economic Indicators
05:15 US Economic Indicators and Federal Reserve Outlook
07:34 Weekend Preview: Sports and Leisure
08:21 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

The opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the presenters and do not necessarily reflect the views of Eurizon SLJ Capital, Eurizon Capital, or the Intesa Sanpaolo Group. The information and opinions shared are intended solely for professional investors and should not be relied upon by other investors. Please note that the information provided in this recording is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be complete or constitute an offer to buy or sell securities or any derivatives. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal and regulatory requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research. It does not constitute research on investment matters and should not be construed as containing any recommendation, advice or suggestion, implicit or explicit, for any investment strategy or financial instruments, the issuers of any financial instruments, or a solicitation, offer or financial promotion relating to any securities or investments. ESLJ and its affiliates do not assume any liability whatsoever for the contents of this podcast and do not make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any information contained in this communication.