The Calm Before the Storm
Why Volatility Signals Stability and Vice Versa
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The Calm Before the Storm
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Narrado por:
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Kevin Stillwell
Acerca de esta escucha
Instead of trying to predict "Black Swan" events such as coups or crises, forecasters should look at how political systems handle disorder. The best indicator of a country's future trajectory is not a lengthy past stability, but recent moderate volatility.
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 342
Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb - veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur has penned a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill - the world of trading - Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives.
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5 out of 5 stars
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Not for MBAs and Economist
- De Ekele Onuh Oscar en 06-19-19
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A Man for All Markets
- From Las Vegas to Wall Street, How I Beat the Dealer and the Market
- De: Edward O. Thorp, Nassim Nicholas Taleb - foreword
- Narrado por: Edward O. Thorp
- Duración: 16 h y 30 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 2,587
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 2,202
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 2,192
The incredible true story of the card-counting mathematics professor who taught the world how to beat the dealer and, as the first of the great quantitative investors, ushered in a revolution on Wall Street.
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5 out of 5 stars
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A life of a genius
- De Oleksiy Volovik en 05-08-17
De: Edward O. Thorp, y otros
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The Black Swan, Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility"
- Incerto, Book 2
- De: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
- Narrado por: Joe Ochman
- Duración: 15 h y 48 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 2,128
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 1,755
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 1,745
A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world.
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4 out of 5 stars
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Interesting, but over the top
- De Anonymous User en 08-08-19
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Nudge: The Final Edition
- Improving Decisions About Money, Health, and the Environment
- De: Richard H. Thaler, Cass R. Sunstein
- Narrado por: Sean Pratt
- Duración: 11 h y 33 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 1,023
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 857
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 847
Since the original publication of Nudge more than a decade ago, the title has entered the vocabulary of businesspeople, policy makers, engaged citizens, and consumers everywhere. The book has given rise to more than 200 "nudge units" in governments around the world and countless groups of behavioral scientists in every part of the economy. It has taught us how to use thoughtful "choice architecture" - a concept the authors invented - to help us make better decisions for ourselves, our families, and our society.
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2 out of 5 stars
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Doesn’t include a Pdf of the images the book calls out
- De John O'Connell en 08-03-21
De: Richard H. Thaler, y otros
Fine Taleb, but repeats some themes in other books
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I'll start by saying I'm a big admirer of Nassim Taleb and absorbing his writings can lead to a paradigm shift in one's thinking. Taleb's counter-intuitive thinking is outlined in this absorbing essay covering the markers for determining whether a nation state is fragile or robust. Centralized states and authority are more susceptible to collapse or revolution while countries with diverse political systems and distributed authority are much more resilient to shocks and volatility. Taleb has a knack for conveying complex concepts in an enjoyable and accessible manner.
The narrator is excellent for the material.
Succinct primer on the stability of nation states
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Great
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Short but very worthwhile
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Susinct, ensightful and enlightening
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Very good
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And most importantly,Taleb seems to forget to add the 'main element' to the equation of antifragility....
which is also the centeral idea of 'fololed by randomness':
The luck.
Aut of domain dependance I guess...
needs to be improved
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Extremely Refreshing
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Would you listen to The Calm Before the Storm again? Why?
no. got it all in the first listening.What does Kevin Stillwell bring to the story that you wouldn’t experience if you just read the book?
I can do other things while listening i.e. the ironing ;)Was this a book you wanted to listen to all in one sitting?
yes, it is only 30minPlausible theories as to why some regimes fail
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