O sinal e o ruído
Por que tantas previsões falham e outras não [Why So Many Predictions Fail—but Some Don't]
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O sinal e o ruído
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Narrated by:
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Ronnie De Campos Melo
About this listen
Ter acesso à informação nunca foi tão fácil. Apesar disso, enfrenta-se no dia a dia o desafio de saber o que é relevante em meio a um volume cada vez maior de dados. Entre as diferentes notícias, opiniões e pesquisas que chegam ao conhecimento da população, como identificar o que é útil no momento de traçar um plano, de se preparar para determinado acontecimento, de acertar uma previsão? Para o economista Nate Silver, garantir a qualidade da informação é o primeiro passo. Em O sinal e o ruído, ele examina casos de sucessos e fracassos para determinar o que os melhores previsores têm em comum em diversos campos de atividade, como ao avaliar o desempenho de um político em campanha, o estrago esperado de um furacão ou o avanço de uma epidemia perigosa.
©2012 Nate Silver; 2013 Editora Intrínseca Ltda. (P)2023 Audible, Inc.Listeners also enjoyed...
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- Narrated by: Michael Pollan
- Length: 2 hrs and 2 mins
- Original Recording
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Overall4.5 out of 5 stars 42,508
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Performance4.5 out of 5 stars 36,622
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Story4.5 out of 5 stars 36,454
Michael Pollan, known for his best-selling nonfiction audio, including The Omnivores Dilemma and How to Change Your Mind, conceived and wrote Caffeine: How Caffeine Created the Modern World as an Audible Original. In this controversial and exciting listen, Pollan explores caffeine’s power as the most-used drug in the world - and the only one we give to children (in soda pop) as a treat.
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2 out of 5 stars
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Leaves much to be desired
- By Melody H on 02-02-20
By: Michael Pollan
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The Ideal Team Player
- How to Recognize and Cultivate the Three Essential Virtues: A Leadership Fable
- By: Patrick M. Lencioni
- Narrated by: Stephen Hoye
- Length: 5 hrs and 3 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall4.5 out of 5 stars 6,522
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Performance4.5 out of 5 stars 5,585
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Story4.5 out of 5 stars 5,561
In The Ideal Team Player, Lencioni tells the story of Jeff Shanley, a leader desperate to save his uncle's company by restoring its cultural commitment to teamwork. Jeff must crack the code on the virtues that real team players possess and then build a culture of hiring and development around those virtues. Beyond the fable, Lencioni presents a practical framework and actionable tools for identifying, hiring, and developing ideal team players.
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3 out of 5 stars
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Lot of talk about a simple concept
- By Andrea on 09-05-16
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How to Day Trade for a Living
- A Beginner's Guide to Trading Tools and Tactics, Money Management, Discipline and Trading Psychology
- By: Andrew Aziz
- Narrated by: Kevin Foley
- Length: 6 hrs and 56 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall4.5 out of 5 stars 1,323
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Performance4.5 out of 5 stars 1,068
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Story4.5 out of 5 stars 1,064
Very few careers can offer you the freedom, flexibility, and income that day trading does. As a day trader, you can live and work anywhere in the world. You can decide when to work and when not to work. You only answer to yourself. That is the life of the successful day trader. Many people aspire to it, but very few succeed. In the audiobook, I describe the fundamentals of day trading, explain how day trading is different from other styles of trading and investment, and elaborate on important trading strategies that many traders use every day.
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3 out of 5 stars
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Its a sales pitch
- By Xavier Foley on 02-08-18
By: Andrew Aziz
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F--k Your Feelings: Master Your Mind, Accomplish Anything and Become a More Significant Human
- By: Ryan Munsey
- Narrated by: Ryan Munsey
- Length: 9 hrs and 15 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall4.5 out of 5 stars 1,520
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Performance4.5 out of 5 stars 1,292
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Story4.5 out of 5 stars 1,284
95 percent of decisions are based on feelings. Not logic. Not rational thought. Feelings. Can you feel the pull of emotions, hunger, guilt, pain, jealously, depression, and everything else weighing on every decision that you make? Business owners, entrepreneurs, regular people looking to get in shape, anyone with a goal that isn't terrified of tough love - you need to listen to F--k Your Feelings - as soon as possible! In this audiobook you'll learn how to use personal mind control techniques to control the way your brain is wired and much more.
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5 out of 5 stars
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Science heavy for those of us who want the why
- By Beth T. Irwin on 10-29-18
By: Ryan Munsey
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Manifest Now
- By: Idil Ahmed
- Narrated by: Idil Ahmed
- Length: 4 hrs and 23 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall5 out of 5 stars 2,510
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Performance5 out of 5 stars 2,115
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Story5 out of 5 stars 2,099
Manifest Now provides a step-by-step guide with tools, techniques, and proven strategies to raise your frequency and create the reality you want. This audiobook is designed to guide you through the mental, physical, and spiritual aspects of manifesting and creating all that your heart desires. You'll learn how to start removing mental and emotional blocks so you can rediscover that manifesting is your natural birthright. You'll feel more confident, reconnected, and powerful as you listen.
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5 out of 5 stars
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This is my first review of 2 years subscribed!
- By Rodrigo on 02-22-19
By: Idil Ahmed
![Los secretos de la mente millonaria (Narración en Castellano) [Secrets of the Millionaire Mind] Audiobook By T. Harv E](https://m.media-amazon.com/images/I/518pmcMK6SL._SL320_.jpg)
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Los secretos de la mente millonaria (Narración en Castellano) [Secrets of the Millionaire Mind]
- Domina el juego de la riqueza [Mastering the Inner Game of Wealth]
- By: T. Harv Eker
- Narrated by: Ivan Villanueva
- Length: 2 hrs and 17 mins
- Unabridged
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Overall5 out of 5 stars 528
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Performance5 out of 5 stars 459
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Story5 out of 5 stars 463
El autor estaba en bancarrota, en solo dos años y medio se convirtió en millonario y construyó una de las más grandes firmas de consultoría para el éxito. Con sus enseñanzas ha tocado la vida de millones de personas. Este audiolibro te enseña a observar como piensas. Es un reto a tus ideas que te limitan, a los razonamientos que no te apoyan y a tus acciones con respecto al dinero.
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3 out of 5 stars
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El libro está bien, pero ES VERSION RESUMIDA
- By alexnvlp on 08-24-23
By: T. Harv Eker
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Plan Your Year Like a Millionaire
- By: Rachel Rodgers
- Narrated by: Rachel Rodgers
- Length: 2 hrs
- Original Recording
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Overall4.5 out of 5 stars 1,345
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Performance4.5 out of 5 stars 1,300
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Story4 out of 5 stars 1,299
Plan Like a Millionaire is part of a riveting three-part series, and it's all about elevating your game and setting goals like a seven-figure earner. In this wealth-inspiring listening journey, Rachel reveals the secrets of how to set goals, manage time wisely, build essential support systems, break free from financial constraints, and make savvy money decisions.
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3 out of 5 stars
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Feel Good Book, only
- By Maggie on 01-06-24
By: Rachel Rodgers