In this episode of STRAT, LtCol. Hal Kempfer discusses the current strategic risk assessment focusing on U.S. relations with Europe, particularly in the context of the ongoing war in Ukraine. He highlights the need for European allies to increase their defense spending and the historical context of U.S.-European dynamics. The conversation also touches on NATO's relevance, Ukraine's defense challenges, U.S. interests in Ukrainian resources, and the potential leverage of frozen Russian assets in negotiations. Kempfer emphasizes the importance of preparedness and a robust defense industrial base for future security.

Takeaways:

• The U.S. is shifting its defense focus towards the West Pacific.

• European allies need to increase their defense spending significantly.

• Historical tensions exist between the U.S. and Europe regarding military commitments.

• NATO's relevance has been reaffirmed due to the war in Ukraine.

• Ukraine faces significant challenges in mobilizing its defense forces.

• The U.S. has substantial interests in Ukrainian rare earth resources.

• Frozen Russian assets could be leveraged for Ukrainian aid.

• Preparedness is crucial to prevent future conflicts.

• The U.S. must maintain a robust defense industrial base.

• Strategic thinking must account for the prolonged nature of modern warfare.

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