Episodios

  • Could New Builds Hurt Your Market? These Areas Are Most at Risk
    May 19 2025
    New builds are popping up everywhere. But some markets have a lot more new homes on the way. This could be risky for real estate investors in these areas, as steady demand and growing supply could put downward pressure on home and rent prices. Where are builders the most and least bullish in 2025, and which markets have so much supply that investors might want to steer clear? Today, we’re giving you a housing supply and inventory update. Austin Wolff joins us again to share findings from the latest builder sentiment survey—how confident builders are in today’s housing market—and which markets they’re building the most (and least) in. This is crucial as an investor, whether you rent or flip, since supply is one factor investors can’t control. Builder sentiment has seen a quick reversal from the 2020 - 2022 highs, but why are there still so many new development projects if builders are bearish? With permits finally getting approved, many builders are forced to complete projects, even during weaker market conditions, leading to lower prices for new build buyers and some dangerous “spillover” effects for investors in the market. In This Episode We Cover Why builder confidence has dropped so much, and why they can’t stop building (even with less profit) Markets seeing the most new construction and potential downward pressure on home prices Why now may be a great time to pick up a new build as developers give concessions The simple formula you can use to see if your market has too much supply for demand Could pessimistic builder conditions be better for appreciation in the long run? And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area How to Save Up to 20% on New Construction Homes Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Austin's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, “Real Estate by the Numbers” Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-322 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠advertise@biggerpockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
    Más Menos
    33 m
  • Wall Street Bets $6B on Real Estate: Is This the Bottom?
    May 15 2025
    Price cuts are hitting the housing market fast, and Wall Street is paying close attention. A new real estate fund just raised $6 billion specifically to invest, signaling that now could be close to the bottom for investment properties. Should you follow their lead, and if you do, which markets are seeing the biggest price cuts where you can pick up discounted deals well below asking price? We’re sharing the top cities with price cuts, why Wall Street is betting on real estate, and a strong sign for the housing market in this headlines episode! Young homebuyers are taking the reins as first-time homebuyer demand starts to rebound in a big way. We weren’t kidding about returning to a “healthy housing market,” and this data may be a sign it’s true! But is buying really the best decision, especially with high rates and (still) high home prices? We brought a list of where renting makes more sense than buying. The housing market is shifting, and we could be rebounding from years of high prices and stagnant sales. Investors need to pay attention, because the signals are pointing to big changes. Want to get in the know? Stick around! We’re sharing it all in this episode. In This Episode We Cover Wall Street’s $6 billion (with a “b”) bet on real estate prices recovering Why young homebuyers are taking up a BIG share of housing market demand (even though the news says the opposite!) Real estate markets with price cuts and which we’re bullish on Renting vs. buying in 2025: these cities are where it makes the most sense to rent How to invest in an expensive market for big equity gains AND low money down And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area On The Market 320 - Zillow: Price Cuts Hit Record as Inventory Floods Back (May 2025) Articles from This Episode: Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Ready to Buy? Grab the Book “First-Time Home Buyer” Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-321 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠advertise@biggerpockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
    Más Menos
    35 m
  • Zillow: Price Cuts Hit Record as Inventory Floods Back (May 2025)
    May 12 2025
    Price cuts surge across the housing market as inventory bounces back in a big way. The “healthier” housing market is starting to show, and the “gap” between buyers and sellers is shrinking. Zillow’s Orphe Divounguy is back to give a sneak peek at their latest housing market data, which shows encouraging signs for buyers, agents, lenders, and anyone who wants the housing market to get back in action! After Zillow recently forecasted a home price decline in 2025, many saw this as a bearish signal for housing. But Orphe, Senior Economist at Zillow, says that this is instead a good sign for the market. With inventory rising, sellers are getting more realistic, meaning lower prices and more choice for buyers. But what about mortgage rates—could they also drop and fuel even greater affordability? Orphe is sharing his mortgage rate prediction as well. How will trade wars and tariffs affect the housing market with so many Americans on the financial edge? Could higher inflation and a potential recession breed big trouble for the housing market? We’re getting Orphe’s refreshingly data-backed (and surprisingly optimistic) take on what’s to come in the rest of 2025. In This Episode We Cover Zillow’s latest May 2025 housing market update (and GOOD news for buyers) Record price cuts: why sellers are starting to get realistic Housing markets seeing the most pain, and which to think twice about before investing How trade wars and tariffs could hit housing, and Orphe’s take on inflation Is a recession really coming? Why Orphe isn’t so sure that the writing is on the wall And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate 1101 - Housing Market Shift: Inventory Catapults Back, Buying Opportunities Grow Economic Policy Uncertainty Index Grab Dave’s Book, “Real Estate by the Numbers” Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-320 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠advertise@biggerpockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
    Más Menos
    34 m
  • Why We’re Buying Real Estate Before Serious Economic Risks Kick In
    May 8 2025
    Economic risk is growing, and protecting/building your wealth could get more challenging. Stocks are overvalued, mortgage rates are high, and many Americans feel stuck without a good option. What’s BiggerPockets CEO Scott Trench doing with his money to protect his wealth from inflation, recessions, and easy-money policies? Today, Scott shares his exact plan (and new investments!). Scott went on record a few months ago to talk about his big move—cashing out of much of his index fund portfolio. What, in hindsight, looked like perfect market timing was instead a defensive move to protect himself from growing irrational exuberance. Where did he put the cash he got from the sale? Right into real estate, and so far, it’s working out quite well. Today, Scott talks about the exact property types he’s buying, the best investing move for a beginner to make given today’s challenging economic landscape, and the significant economic risks that could be coming in 2025 and 2026. Scott’s putting his money where his mouth is, and, so far, he’s been spot on. Would you take the same approach to protect your wealth? In This Episode We Cover What BiggerPockets CEO Scott Trench is investing in while stocks remain overvalued and economic risk grows The best real estate investments for someone starting in today’s economic environment Growing economic risks from tariffs, a new Fed chair, and what’s sparking new inflation fears Want lower interest rates? Here’s why betting against the labor market isn’t the best move Is real estate as overvalued as stocks right now? And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate 1118 - Data Says It’s a Buyer’s Market: Here’s Where the Most Opportunity Is w/Scott Trench and Michael Zuber Scott's BiggerPockets Profile Invest in Any Market Cycle with “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing” Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-319 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠⁠⁠advertise@biggerpockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
    Más Menos
    47 m
  • US Economy Shrinks: Why Mortgage Rates Aren’t Dropping (Yet)
    May 5 2025
    The US economy is shrinking, with GDP declining this quarter. We’re getting closer to recession territory, so why aren’t mortgage rates dropping? We’ll explain how one crucial part of the economy is staying strong—keeping the Fed from cutting and delaying the typical rate-drop that comes with a recession. What’s stopping us from going back to sub-6% mortgage rates? We’ll break it down in this episode. The economy is changing—fast. The US saw its GDP turn negative last quarter as many Americans braced for the impact of tariffs. But even with the overall economy lagging, labor data remains strong. Jobs are still being created, unemployment is relatively low, and Americans are going to work. This may be the single factor keeping the Fed in limbo, unable to cut rates any further. So, what happens if the labor market breaks? Home builders were already anxious over the past year, and now they’re getting even more hesitant to build. With tariffs pushing up prices for materials, building (and buying) a house could get much more expensive. And with builders already dropping prices, could this lead to a broader decline in home prices across the nation? In This Episode We Cover A worrying sign for the US economy and whether it could trigger lower mortgage rates The one thing standing in the way of the Fed finally cutting rates again Tariff effects on GDP and the first signs of what they could do to our economy New labor market numbers and why jobs are being added as the economy shrinks Are we in a recession? And does it even matter if we are? And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile BiggerPockets Real Estate 1116 - The Mortgage Rate “Range” to Expect for the Rest of 2025 Invest in Any Market Cycle with “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing” Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠ and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-318 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠⁠advertise@biggerpockets.com⁠⁠⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
    Más Menos
    31 m
  • New Lawsuit Could Trigger “Domino Effect” to End the MLS
    May 1 2025
    Another MLS lawsuit is making waves—this time aiming to remove unfair listing rules and help both buyers and agents. Experts say we’re in a “healthy” housing market, but does it feel that way? A high-demand, often-overlooked “cash cow” rental strategy is exploding in 2025, and we talk about everyone’s favorite state to hate: California. Is investing in Los Angeles actually worth it? All that, and more, in today’s show! Experts from HousingWire are calling today’s housing market “healthier” as buyers gain leverage, inventory rises, and pending sales increase. If you’re a hesitant investor, it may be time to get in the game, but flippers and sellers must be careful. James and Henry share how they’re still (profitably) selling deals in today’s market. Want to make WAY more cash flow? This rental strategy’s demand is surging, and there’s not enough supply! We’ll describe the strategy and why it’s become a “cash cow” with even better future potential. Is the appreciation worth investing in America’s hardest housing market—California? Finally, a new MLS lawsuit makes waves as a key brokerage challenges strict selling standards that could be hurting buyers, sellers, and agents. What happens if they win? In This Episode We Cover The new MLS lawsuit that may trigger a “domino” effect leading to the end of the MLS A cash-flowing rental strategy with growing demand in 2025 and where it works Why experts say the housing market is “healthy” again—but why it still feels off Does it ever make sense to invest in California? Why the wealthy still park money there And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Los Angeles Real Estate: Why Do People Continue to Invest Here? Why the housing market is actually much healthier in 2025 Compass files an antitrust suit against NWMLS over its CCP Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Henry's BiggerPockets Profile James' BiggerPockets Profile Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile Grab Dave’s Book, “Start with Strategy” Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠ and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-317 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠advertise@biggerpockets.com⁠⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
    Más Menos
    44 m
  • “Technical” Recession is Imminent: Is the Housing Market Safe? w/J Scott
    Apr 28 2025
    What the heck is happening with the US economy? Stocks are down, now they’re up, mortgage rates are dropping—wait, scratch that—they’re back up again, the Fed could have a new chair, and if they cut rates, interest rates could…rise? A “technical” recession is on the way, but will it have the same effects as the last one? We need some backup to explain the state of the US economy, and J Scott is here to do just that. J wrote the book on Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing and is known as one of the most economically aware real estate investors. Today, we’re diving into it all: mortgage rates, recession chances, inflation rates, tariffs, trade wars, future home price predictions, and what J plans to do with his money. Home prices are already unstable, but could a recession, combined with high inventory and low demand, push us over the edge? This may not be another 2008, for many reasons, but the psychological effect of a recession can be severe—especially on homebuyers and sellers. We’re giving you J’s complete overview of the economy today. In This Episode We Cover Whether or not home prices are at risk as we enter a “technical” recession J’s investment plan for 2025 and the assets he’s most bullish on The massive undersupply problem that’s propping up the housing market Inflation forecasts and the unexpected tariff side effects that could cost Americans Why “just buy American” won’t stop you from feeling inflation How the Fed cutting rates could…raise rates? And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find Investor-Friendly Lenders Dave's BiggerPockets Profile On the Market 315 - Stagflation Risk Rising Fast as US Economy Falls Out of Balance J's BiggerPockets Profile Grab J’s Book, “Recession-Proof Real Estate Investing” Jump to topic: (0:00) Intro(2:04) Home Prices (Probably) Won’t Crash(8:24) Still SO Undersupplied(9:56) The “Technical” Recession Coming(14:45) GDP Will Drop(18:26) Inflation Forecast(22:58) Just Buy American Goods?(28:15) New Fed Chair?(34:23) J’s Investment Plan Check out more resources from this show on ⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠ and ⁠https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-316 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠advertise@biggerpockets.com⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
    Más Menos
    47 m
  • Stagflation Risk Rising Fast as US Economy Falls Out of Balance
    Apr 24 2025
    Stagflation: the combination of two of the worst economic conditions—inflation and slow/no growth. With stagflation, prices rise, asset growth shrinks, unemployment increases, consumer confidence drops, and economic pain spreads. This is the first time in almost fifty years that the US has had to deal with what is an extremely rare economic scare. And with the Fed already under immense pressure to lower rates, is the US economy out of escape routes? Today, we’re talking about stagflation—a trend that has worried major economists for months. Economic “warning signs” are already flashing as recession and inflation risks grow. But if we get hit with stagflation, how bad will it be, how long will it last, and how will it affect real estate? I’m explaining it all today. We’ll walk through what happened during the 1970s stagflation crisis, how home and rent prices were affected, what’s causing today’s stagflation risk, and whether the Fed has any power left to mitigate the worst consequences of it. This could affect every American and anyone investing in American real estate, but have my investing plans changed? I’ll tell you what I’m doing next. In This Episode We Cover Stagflation explained and why it’s becoming a greater risk in 2025 Why the Fed may be out of options to fight stagflation and what’s causing it Reviewing the 1970s stagflation crisis and what happened to real estate prices then Inflation forecasts for 2025 and how much more prices could rise My current investing plan and how I’m looking at real estate if stagflation strikes And So Much More! Links from the Show Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise Join BiggerPockets for FREE Sign Up for the On the Market Newsletter Find an Investor-Friendly Agent in Your Area Real Estate Investors—You Should Be Very Concerned About Stagflation Dave's BiggerPockets Profile Buy Real Estate the Right Way in Any Market Cycle with “Real Estate by the Numbers” Check out more resources from this show on BiggerPockets.com and https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-315 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email advertise@biggerpockets.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
    Más Menos
    33 m
adbl_web_global_use_to_activate_T1_webcro805_stickypopup