Iran Israel war and ceasefire stability

In this episode, we dive deep into the pivotal 12-day military conflict between Iran and Israel that erupted in June 2025 a dramatic escalation from their long-standing shadow war. We unpack the roots of the confrontation, including Israel’s strategic pivot toward preemptive action and its systematic targeting of Iranian proxies, which led to the launch of Operation Rising Lion against Iran’s nuclear infrastructure.

We examine Iran’s powerful retaliation, the ensuing U.S. intervention, and the fragile ceasefire that followed a ceasefire marked by minimalist terms and profound mistrust. The episode also explores the far-reaching consequences of the war, from the damage to Iran’s nuclear ambitions to the collapse of its Axis of Resistance network and the reshaped military postures of both nations.

Finally, we analyze the internal political hardening in both Tehran and Tel Aviv, the muted roles of global powers like China and Russia, and why experts believe this brief war could be the precursor to a much larger conflict on the horizon.

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