The Pattern Future
Finding the World’s Great Secrets and Predicting the Future Using Pattern Discovery
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Narrado por:
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Jack Nolan
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De:
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Mark Anderson
Acerca de esta escucha
Renowned technology and economics forecaster Mark Anderson reveals hidden patterns beneath the art and science of predicting the future. Through a series of personal vignettes, Anderson exposes a complex web of causes, influences, and effects that propel today’s world, then describes strategies that he employs to lay bare new trends, to make new discoveries in a wide variety of disciplines, and to accurately foresee future events.
©2017 FiReBooks, a division of Strategic News Service (P)2023 FiReBooks, a division of Strategic News ServiceLos oyentes también disfrutaron...
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In this groundbreaking work, Tim Harford shows us a new and inspiring approach to solving the most pressing problems in our lives. Harford argues that today’s challenges simply cannot be tackled with ready-made solutions and expert opinions; the world has become far too unpredictable and profoundly complex. Instead, we must adapt. Deftly weaving together psychology, evolutionary biology, anthropology, physics, and economics, along with compelling stories of hard-won lessons learned in the field, Harford makes a passionate case for the importance of adaptive trial-and-error....
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3 out of 5 stars
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Hidden Agenda
- De Lawrence en 05-20-13
De: Tim Harford
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Forecast
- What Physics, Meteorology, and the Natural Sciences Can Teach Us About Economics
- De: Mark Buchanan
- Narrado por: Fleet Cooper
- Duración: 10 h
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 33
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 30
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 30
Picture an early scene from The Wizard of Oz: Dorothy hurries home as a tornado gathers in what was once a clear Kansas sky. Hurriedly, she seeks shelter in the storm cellar under the house, but, finding it locked, takes cover in her bedroom. We all know how that works out for her.Many investors these days are a bit like Dorothy, putting their faith in something as solid and trustworthy as a house (or, say, real estate). But market disruptions - storms - seem to arrive without warning, leaving us little time to react.
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4 out of 5 stars
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Good Contrarian Book
- De J. Sterz en 04-18-17
De: Mark Buchanan
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Automate This
- How Algorithms Came to Rule Our World
- De: Christopher Steiner
- Narrado por: Walter Dixon
- Duración: 7 h y 41 m
- Versión completa
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General4 out of 5 stars 1,480
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Narración:4 out of 5 stars 1,265
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Historia4 out of 5 stars 1,260
It used to be that to diagnose an illness, interpret legal documents, analyze foreign policy, or write a newspaper article you needed a human being with specific skills - and maybe an advanced degree or two. These days, high-level tasks are increasingly being handled by algorithms that can do precise work not only with speed but also with nuance. These "bots" started with human programming and logic, but now their reach extends beyond what their creators ever expected.
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2 out of 5 stars
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good start, book runs out of sustenace
- De RealTruth en 02-15-13
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Future Babble
- Why Expert Predictions Fail - and Why We Believe Them Anyway
- De: Dan Gardner
- Narrado por: Walter Dixon
- Duración: 11 h y 1 m
- Versión completa
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General4 out of 5 stars 57
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 38
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Historia4 out of 5 stars 37
In Future Babble, award-winning journalist Dan Gardner presents landmark research debunking the whole expert prediction industry and explores our obsession with the future. The truth is that experts are about as accurate as dart-throwing monkeys.
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2 out of 5 stars
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Future Babble Babble
- De Karen en 05-04-11
De: Dan Gardner
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Average is Over
- Powering America Beyond the Age of the Great Stagnation
- De: Tyler Cowen
- Narrado por: Andrew Garman
- Duración: 8 h y 42 m
- Versión completa
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General4 out of 5 stars 382
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Narración:4 out of 5 stars 311
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Historia4 out of 5 stars 308
The widening gap between rich and poor means dealing with one big, uncomfortable truth: If you're not at the top, you're at the bottom. The global labor market is changing radically thanks to growth at the high end and the low. About three quarters of the jobs created in the United States since the great recession pay only a bit more than minimum wage. Still, the United States has more millionaires and billionaires than any country ever, and we continue to mint them.
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1 out of 5 stars
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Disappointing analysis of future
- De JKBart en 12-10-13
De: Tyler Cowen
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The Chip
- How Two Americans Invented the Microchip and Launched a Revolution
- De: T.R. Reid
- Narrado por: Tom Perkins
- Duración: 9 h y 32 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 56
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Narración:5 out of 5 stars 42
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 42
Barely 50 years ago a computer was a gargantuan, vastly expensive thing that only a handful of scientists had ever seen. The world's brightest engineers were stymied in their quest to make these machines small and affordable until the solution finally came from two ingenious young Americans. Jack Kilby and Robert Noyce hit upon the stunning discovery that would make possible the silicon microchip, a work that would ultimately earn Kilby the Nobel Prize for physics in 2000.
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3 out of 5 stars
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Great narration, sloppy writing
- De Constantly Learning en 10-06-22
De: T.R. Reid
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Abundance
- The Future Is Better Than You Think
- De: Steven Kotler, Peter H. Diamandis
- Narrado por: Keith Sellon-Wright
- Duración: 10 h y 19 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 208
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 170
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 169
Space entrepreneur turned innovation pioneer Peter H. Diamandis and award-winning science writer Steven Kotler document how progress in artificial intelligence, robotics, digital manufacturing synthetic biology, and other exponentially growing technologies will enable us to make greater gains in the next two decades than we have in the previous 200 years.
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3 out of 5 stars
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Perhaps multiply his time estimates by 10
- De Rick en 11-06-21
De: Steven Kotler, y otros
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Narrative Economics
- How Stories Go Viral and Drive Major Economic Events
- De: Robert J. Shiller
- Narrado por: Susan Osman, Robert J. Shiller - introduction
- Duración: 11 h y 7 m
- Versión completa
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General4 out of 5 stars 453
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Narración:4 out of 5 stars 361
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Historia4 out of 5 stars 359
Spread through the public in the form of popular stories, ideas can go viral and move markets - whether it's the belief that tech stocks can only go up or that housing prices never fall. Whether true or false, stories like these - transmitted by word of mouth, by the news media, and increasingly by social media - drive the economy by driving our decisions about how and where to invest, how much to spend and save, and more. But despite the obvious importance of such stories, most economists have paid little attention to them. Narrative Economics sets out to change that.
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3 out of 5 stars
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Such boring narration (returned)
- De William J Brown en 10-08-19
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The Click Moment
- Seizing Opportunity in an Unpredictable World
- De: Frans Johansson
- Narrado por: Erik Synnestvedt
- Duración: 7 h y 41 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 63
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 52
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 52
On the one hand we aren’t surprised by the uncertainty of everyday life, but on the other we believe that success can be analyzed and planned for. It is a revealing paradox. The implications are explosive and they obliterate every common-sense notion we have about strategy and planning. The Click Moment is about two very simple but highly provocative ideas.
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5 out of 5 stars
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Outstanding book!
- De Anilyn Karel en 08-26-24
De: Frans Johansson
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Whiplash
- How to Survive Our Faster Future
- De: Joi Ito, Jeff Howe
- Narrado por: James Foster
- Duración: 7 h y 48 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 366
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 309
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 309
Today, not only is everything digital getting faster, cheaper, and smaller at an exponential rate, we also have the Internet. When these two revolutions - one in technology and the other in communications - joined, an explosive force was unleashed that changed the very nature of innovation. And with any change, we have seen many strategic blunders and extraordinary learning curves along the way.
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4 out of 5 stars
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Just general advice on how to survive
- De A. Yoshida en 09-01-17
De: Joi Ito, y otros
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Age of Discovery
- Navigating the Risks and Rewards of Our New Renaissance
- De: Ian Goldin, Chris Kutarna
- Narrado por: Mark Meadows
- Duración: 11 h y 49 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 51
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 44
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Historia4 out of 5 stars 45
Age of Discovery explores a world on the brink of a new Renaissance and asks: how do we share more widely the benefits of unprecedented progress? How do we endure the inevitable tumult generated by accelerating change? How do we each thrive through this tangled, uncertain time? From gains in health, education, wealth and technology to crises of conflict, disease and mass migration, the similarities between today's world and that of the 15th century are both striking and prophetic: we have been here before.
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1 out of 5 stars
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A monotonous text disguised as casual reading.
- De Rob en 07-29-16
De: Ian Goldin, y otros
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The World Is Flat
- Further Updated and Expanded
- De: Thomas L. Friedman
- Narrado por: Oliver Wyman
- Duración: 27 h y 15 m
- Versión completa
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General4 out of 5 stars 982
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Narración:4 out of 5 stars 547
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Historia4 out of 5 stars 545
When scholars write the history of the world twenty years from now, what will they say was the most crucial development in the first few years of the twenty-first century? The attacks on the World Trade Center on 9/11 and the Iraq war? Or the convergence of technology and events that allowed India, China, and so many other countries to become part of the global supply chain for services and manufacturing, creating an explosion of wealth in the middle classes of the world's two biggest nations?
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1 out of 5 stars
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If you like cliches...
- De Jonathan Shultz en 09-08-07
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Data-ism
- The Revolution Transforming Decision Making, Consumer Behavior, and Almost Everything Else
- De: Steve Lohr
- Narrado por: Steve Lohr
- Duración: 6 h y 33 m
- Versión completa
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General4 out of 5 stars 117
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Narración:4 out of 5 stars 100
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Historia4 out of 5 stars 97
Coal, iron ore, and oil were the key productive assets that fueled the Industrial Revolution. Today data is the vital raw material of the information economy. The explosive abundance of this digital asset, more than doubling every two years, is creating a new world of opportunity and challenge. Data-ism is about this next phase, in which vast, Internet-scale data sets are used for discovery and prediction in virtually every field. It is a journey across this emerging world with people, illuminating narrative examples, and insights.
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4 out of 5 stars
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More business case than serious analysis
- De Godfried Gubbels en 06-03-15
De: Steve Lohr
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Everything All at Once
- How to Unleash Your Inner Nerd, Tap into Radical Curiosity and Solve Any Problem
- De: Bill Nye
- Narrado por: Bill Nye
- Duración: 12 h y 34 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 1,513
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 1,392
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 1,384
Everything All at Once is an exciting, inspiring call to unleash the power of the nerd mindset that exists within us all. Nye believes we'll never be able to tackle our society's biggest, most complex problems if we don't even know how to solve the small ones. Step by step, he shows his listeners the key tools behind his everything-all-at-once approach: radical curiosity, a deep desire for a better future, and a willingness to take the actions needed to make it a reality.
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3 out of 5 stars
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Bill Nye is awesome, but skip this one
- De Evan en 08-15-17
De: Bill Nye
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Climate Shock
- The Economic Consequences of a Hotter Planet
- De: Gernot Wagner, Martin L. Weitzman
- Narrado por: Grover Gardner
- Duración: 4 h y 54 m
- Versión completa
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General4 out of 5 stars 70
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 54
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Historia4 out of 5 stars 53
Wagner and Martin Weitzman explore in lively, clear terms the likely repercussions of a hotter planet, drawing on and expanding from work previously unavailable to general audiences. They show that the longer we wait to act, the more likely an extreme event will happen. A city might go underwater.
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3 out of 5 stars
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Nuance, balance, risk management.
- De John Christens en 11-23-23
De: Gernot Wagner, y otros
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Fifty Inventions That Shaped the Modern Economy
- De: Tim Harford
- Narrado por: Roger Davis
- Duración: 9 h y 16 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 370
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 316
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 314
Fifty Inventions That Shaped the Modern Economy paints an epic picture of change in an intimate way by telling the stories of the tools, people, and ideas that had far-reaching consequences for all of us. From the plough to artificial intelligence, from Gillette's disposable razor to IKEA's Billy bookcase, best-selling author and Financial Times columnist Tim Harford recounts each invention's own curious, surprising, and memorable story.
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5 out of 5 stars
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Thought provoking
- De Paul Norris en 09-10-17
De: Tim Harford
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The Idea Factory
- Bell Labs and the Great Age of American Innovation
- De: Jon Gertner
- Narrado por: Chris Sorensen
- Duración: 17 h y 28 m
- Versión completa
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General4.5 out of 5 stars 1,038
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Narración:4.5 out of 5 stars 869
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Historia4.5 out of 5 stars 870
In The Idea Factory, New York Times Magazine writer Jon Gertner reveals how Bell Labs served as an incubator for scientific innovation from the 1920s through the1980s. In its heyday, Bell Labs boasted nearly 15,000 employees, 1200 of whom held PhDs and 13 of whom won Nobel Prizes. Thriving in a work environment that embraced new ideas, Bell Labs scientists introduced concepts that still propel many of today’s most exciting technologies.
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5 out of 5 stars
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Great story -- horrible pauses
- De Rodney en 01-29-13
De: Jon Gertner